migratingwx

Hey, this is me, just under a different name. I wish I had that sort of power, but there was some discussion years ago to use a nearby COOP station "for" the airport, but it had to be within 5 miles of the airport. The Varina COOP station was being used for some reports, such as the 12/9/2018 storm, but last I checked, that station had closed down, and they were looking for another nearby observer. I'm not sure what is happening now. I don't mind chiming in here from time to time. I'm glad I was able to share some snow and cold. We had a big snow here last Saturday, so I've been posting in the forum covering this area. 2.0" on 12/5 is a good start for the winter, and RIC is long overdue for a 20"+ season, so maybe this is it? There are two more threats for you all that need to be watched for Monday and possibly next Friday. Below ICON for the possible Monday event and then today's 12z Euro showing next Friday's threat.

RIC reported a 2" snow depth at the 7 am ob, so by that point at least 1.5" had fallen. CLI won't come out until around 5:30, although it's possible AKQ sends a PNS with a total before then. The daily snowfall record is 4.2" from the 12/5/2002 snowstorm, so that remains safe. Earlier, when I mentioned breaking the record, I unfortunately used 12/6 instead of 12/5. Nonetheless, not bad for early December.

Today's 12Z EPS suggests that any mid month moderation will be short lived. Earlier in the week, it was becoming apparent there would be a modest warm up in the 3rd week of December. However, EPS no longer even gets the ridge east of the Mississippi. It makes it midway, then gets squashed to the SW as another trough develops in the East at the end of the run.

Good luck! Sending you all snow and cold from Chicago. Posting back in here under my new name.

That's a wrap here. Always a treat to have a bonus event. A couple of pics from this evening.

Picking up pretty decently out now.

Ceilings lowered, flurries have commenced here as well.

A few days ago, I paid to upgrade to the Ultimate Subscription package. The fee was charged to my credit card, but so far, I have not reaped the benefits. For instance, my upload space hasn't changed, and I never received a confirmation email or anything else indicating a change. Could someone look into this, or is it still processing? Thanks.

What a great event! A couple of night time shots from around where I live.

18z 3k NAM came in nice and healthy.

18z HRRR

00z vs 18z below

Here we go!

A slight northern jolt with the snow axis on the 00z Euro, but keeps Chicago firmly in healthy totals and similar to the 18z totals here. 00z vs 18z below

Similar totals as the 18z run

EPS mean also went up since the 18z run. 00z vs 18z below

Like the GFS, the Euro does have some marginal surface temps from about midnight to 6am Sunday morning from Chicago south and east. Temps aloft, however, looks to remain below 0°C during the event until you get south of Kankakee and into Indiana. At 925mb, this is the warmest frame. Air above that is solidly below 0°C.

Definitely! And thus, the totals ticked up decently from the 18z run.

Looks like between about 10pm Saturday and 5am Sunday is when surface temps become marginal from Chicago and SE on this run

A wobble back south with the track on the 00z GFS so totals are a tick higher than the 18z run.

18z vs 12z below

18z GEFS didn't really change much from 12z.

18Z GFS has slightly higher amounts for Chicagoland. 18z vs 12z below.