migratingwx

A southward shift on the 18z Euro vs 12z below.

Euro has shifted north from earlier runs for the Friday and Saturday systems. 12z vs 6z bottom 2 maps below

12z GFS still favoring a southern track, with the heaviest snows staying south of Chicago.

The final storm total for RIC was 4.0".

The Varina COOP observer updated their total as of 8pm to 3.5" and there could be another tenth or two added based on the radar trends. Looks like they may be using that observer for the Richmond airport, @JB Fins.

Beautiful home! Snow changes everything especially with Christmas decorations up.

3.0” through 5pm at RIC, not too sure there will be much more than this based on radar. Lots of 4-6” reports just south and east of the airport.

Officially 3.0” at RIC, but I’ve seen quite a few reports of 5.0” south and east.

Nice heavier ban moving towards RIC from Farmville so things could pick up soon.

Latest HRRR, fwiw.

Rooting for you all from Chicago. Plenty here to share, we've had the snowiest start to winter since 1978 and even more on the way. Happy to see my first winter here going well.

00z GFS

GFS had the next threat a week from now.

AKQ just upgraded RIC metro to a warning. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 917 PM EST Sun Dec 7 2025 VAZ061-068-069-081-082-513>516-081030- /O.UPG.KAKQ.WW.Y.0011.251208T1100Z-251209T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.W.0006.251208T1100Z-251208T2300Z/ Cumberland-Amelia-Powhatan-Prince George (including Hopewell and Petersburg)-Charles City-Western Chesterfield-Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico- 917 PM EST Sun Dec 7 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches with localized amounts in excess of 4 inches possible. * WHERE...Portions of central, east central, and south central Virginia. * WHEN...From 6 AM to 6 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Call 511 for road information. && $$

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 210 PM EST Sun Dec 7 2025 VAZ061-068-069-081-082-513>516-080315- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WW.Y.0011.251208T1100Z-251209T0300Z/ Cumberland-Amelia-Powhatan-Prince George (including Hopewell and Petersburg)-Charles City-Western Chesterfield-Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico- 210 PM EST Sun Dec 7 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 10 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 3 inches. * WHERE...Portions of central, east central, and south central Virginia. * WHEN...From 6 AM to 10 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Call 511 for road information.

Short range models are looking really good for you guys. Could be a nice 2-4" event for many tomorrow.

Another great event to add on to what we had. The timing of the event was unfortunate, with it happening so late into the night and wrapping up around sunrise, I barely got to see some good rates.

Sharing as much as I can from Chicago. We're getting another few inches tonight on top of what we've already been getting starting a week ago.

GFS has another threat next weekend.

Nice little event shaping up.

Here is the 2z GFS for Monday still showing the next potential. The Canadian has it farther north.

18z GFS hot off the press also suggest to keep an eye out on Monday.