WintryMixmaster

I hope you're right and these last 2 winters weren't just an anomaly. Though I think my favorite winter here was 2023-2024 - a big storm and snow on the ground for a week, but mild otherwise. Cold and dry is my least favorite kind of winter - though I know some others will disagree, since the cold at least makes it feel more like winter even without snow

About a quarter inch of snow at my house, I'm curious if there's larger totals up by Halls because it seemed like they were under a steadier band of snow for longer before it weakened as it moved south

A nice dusting on the grass and wet roads would be ideal for my drive to work tomorrow, especially since I'm sure the rain washed away the salt they put down for the last storm

Maybe that band of more steady snow that's currently in N Knox County/S Anderson County can get down here before dissipating

Very light snow has been falling here for about 30-45 minutes... there's a thin dusting (<0.1") on some of the colder elevated surfaces. Radar has had no reflections over my house though (snow hole along I-140, just south of the "K" in Knoxville on the map)

Some light rain/snow mix is falling at my place now too

33.4 and on and off drizzle, haven't seen any snow yet but its hard to tell with how little precip is falling

My first thought when I saw the snow hole was that maybe the high res models were overdoing some terrain effect... I didn't realize you were on the Virginia side of the Cumberland Gap, maybe the model just creates some super downslope effect in that area to try and more accurately match the erroneous snowfall totals in that area? I didn't realize the models got fed previous local snowfall data for future forecasts but it makes sense that if the models consistently busted high with respect to the erroneous data, someone would try and tweak the geography or something in the model to make it "more" (though in this case less lol) accurate for that location

It's kind of interesting how some of the models show the snow hole there and some don't. RDPS and NAM don't have it, but the NAM 3k does and the HRW literally has snow on all sides of Lee County but stops right around the county lines lol. Are certain models being fed the bad data while others don't have the resolution to pick up on it?

Short range models have been consistently showing this dusting of snow tomorrow evening. I'll take any accumulation I can get if the ground temps cool off enough and we get enough moisture from the lee side low. Nickels and dimes still add up over the course of a winter

That looks almost dead on for my backyard (light-medium blue shading in SW Knox Co)... 0.2" dusting after the ice storm and 3.8" from last weekend.

Final total of 3.8" actually matched exactly with last January's storm... both times, the Knoxville area did okay but last year, Chattanooga was the jackpot zone and this time, NE TN was

I'm too far west of the Cedar Bluff band, too far east for the Farragut band. Looks like they're slowly moving east though. Somewhat off topic but I'll never forget my first snowstorm here in early January 2022... I read the forum all night, watched the valley hold onto the warm air as the cold from the Plateau slowly worked its way down, watched the rain change to sleet and then snow at like 1:30 AM, and then woke up to a surprise 1.8 inch of snow. Meanwhile outside of Hardin Valley (where I lived at the time), there was little if any accumulation, it's like the storm was specifically for me. After that I don't complain about having slightly lower totals than the people around me, I used up my good luck that winter lol

The sun is fighting through the thin clouds here... helping a little bit with the roads, but making my driveway a lot slushier to shovel

From the weather channel's radar, you can see the thin band of heavier snow that set up shop N-S through Cedar Bluff and briefly jogged west 1-2 miles and gave me that period of heavier snow (that dot it actually about 1.5 miles due north of my house)

Back to baby snowflakes but I think that 10-15 minute period added 0.1" to my total haha

I was thinking maybe it was just the flake size getting bigger because we were warming up but no, visibility has definitely dropped. I think the models had it cutting off for our area around now and only continuing in the foothills, but I wonder with the air saturated/NW flow and temperatures dropping whether we can wring out a bit more moisture this afternoon/evening. At least enough for more mood flakes

I went for a walk and I was like "wait a second, is it snowing harder or is it just me" haha. The snowflake size has increased, the dbz on the weather.gov radar doesn't show anything different but it's definitely picked up a bit on and off

Light snow still falling here but at this point I think we're about done as far as accumulation goes. Measured 3.7 inches which was almost dead on with what most of the models had predicted for my backyard, snowfall gradient and all. It was nice to see the foothills and NE TN get a good storm and that the whole valley seemed to get at least some snow

My front yard says "what storm?" (trees to the north block the snow). Meanwhile my backyard has a drift almost a foot deep up against the fence

Another 1-2" seems generous but possible if we get a band and a period of more moderate snowfall rates

Almost impossible to measure accurately with the blowing, compaction, and drifting, but I'd guess 3.5 inches +/- 0.5 inch in my yard. Steady at 15.1 degrees and light snow falling. Not sure how much more I can reasonably expect unless we get a period of heavier snow, the light powder is blowing away as fast as its falling

I went to college in Minnesota and this reminds me of a Minnesota snow - dry, light powder that almost sparkles in the light

What site do you use for radar?

I wish I lived in the northern part of the county lol, I have around 3 inches on the grass and 2-3 on other surfaces. It looks like most of the accumulation happened before around 4:30 AM, we've had significantly lighter rates after that. HRRR does show another pulse of more moderate snow hitting us later this morning, which may be needed if the total is going to hit 4" in my backyard