Lava Rock

28F. At least it looks and feels like winter. Back to bare ground by Mon. 

Arlberg in Austria

The pattern change begins 12/15 and is complete by 12/21. Merry white Christmas to all and to all g'nite

3 minutes ago, tamarack said:

BGR milder than any place outside of FL, HI, TX and SoCal.  Of course.  (But the Grinch won't waste his efforts 2 weeks too soon.)

I'll be in LA for Xmas. Probably be colder there.

59 minutes ago, TheMainer said:

That looks ideal as a bad cutter could get here, 0.5" of rain and temps stay in the 30s and we'll still have a base

IDK, 50s on Monday.....

12" at sunday river

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Did you get it fixed?

oh yeah, after a couple trys, once the collar locked, I was good. New to shaft driven blower = rookie mistake

40 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Some sticky crap.

I forgot to lock in my PTO for the blower and it kept kicking off. I was like wtf, is going on then realized I had forgotten to make sure the coupler was fully attached to the shaft. 

5.5" best I could measure

Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk

Maine posters..how much so far? It will be telling in terms of it those high forecast amounts will be close or not . Why is no one posting amounts so far ?

It should really pile up after 9/10pm. I'm more excited for something sneaky tomorrow night. 

Slight bump up on snow by GYX, Sharp gradient on the coast.

Pats are pathetically bad

Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk

32.5/32 sn

Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk

925mb is -2c here so we could start as some frozen or transition fairly quickly thereafter if the rates are there.

18z euro warmer. Liquid in Lewiston?

Replica of last winter 

2nd month of winter looks mainly lost now 

how about them pinecones this year, they're everywhere

52.3F. So much for getting some frost in the ground

Euro is warning snows, GFS caved too in CNE/NNE.

we ski at sunday river and I don't know why they don't install more cams. It's ridiculous they only have one cam facing the chondola from the northpeak lodge. They used to have another at bottom of Southridge (at foggy goggle) but it's been gone for awhile. What's the thinking on limiting cams on the mtn? 

1 minute ago, UnitedWx said:

Even the PMS front suspension? Formula Crush... as in vertebrae 

yea, she was harsh, but my thumb was more sore holding the throttle open on those 40 carbs

11 minutes ago, mreaves said:

I liken it to people reminiscing about their 1990 Mach 1.  It was great for it's time but are going to trade your current 850? 

1990

2024

P.S. My back hurts just looking at the suspension on the 1990

I preferred my 88 Plus.

8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

The models were a lot worse back then. I forecasted with them for years…we knew some of the biases better, but their skill in every single metric was worse.

I think many forget that we used to weenietag people for getting too excited about a 144 hour storm threat…now people actually take them seriously. And there’s a good reason for that….models actually sniff out storms at 144 hours way better than they did in 2008 or 2009. Hell, I remember we tracked the 12/17/20 storm from like 200+ hours out, lol…it was consistently there on guidance. That type of stuff almost never happened back then. 

maybe I didn't ask the right question. if the models were worse, were mets better at making more accurate frcsts with what they had? the other thing i'm not considering which speaks to your 2nd point is that in the "old" days (1990-2015) models didn't pick up on storms way out there (right?) and mets were working within a storm range of say 96hr, so those storms, if they panned out would make it seem the frcsts were better back then. it just seems we've spoiled ourselves with models that extend beyond 300hr, so one can get a lot of disappointment if what they're tracking doesn't work out. maybe i'm just babling, but was trying to make more sense of it to a weather weenie like me