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BristowWx

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Everything posted by BristowWx

  1. You are smarter than me but with a -PNA won’t we see lows cutting continuously regardless of the NAO. This may not matter for the NE…but the MA will be on the losing side more often than not. Seems like the -NAO is just keeping a full blown torch at bay.
  2. 18z looks similar to the 12z Euro…you gotta laugh. 8 days out. Who knows
  3. Who knows….at least it’s not boring. Every model run is fun to look at…that makes it 100x better than last year
  4. I would wait until 5 hours before..and even then I would be nervous
  5. havent really been tracking the coastal other than seeing it...if it gets too close its likely rain anyway. just be happy this weekend isnt Xmas or we would be in shorts
  6. 12z. Lets enjoy this for 6 hours. And its only 9 days away so its practically on our doorstep
  7. Saw that. sub 990 off ORF. Everything looks interesting next week but we are one adjustment north away from being in the warm sector on the GFS. So I won’t rest easy.
  8. Yes I do believe average temps or slight below are a solid prospect. I will take it. Probably won’t torch.
  9. I am confident in the chilly part on Xmas…the rest is just sugar plums dancing in my head
  10. Good enough. Xmas is chilly…we open gifts, hit the nog, and wait for next day. Xmas weekend so it counts as white. What could go wrong.
  11. Well that might be one way to score a little frozen…NW to SE overrunning that hits a wall moving NE day after Xmas on GFS. Ok
  12. Euro and GFS on different planets on Xmas..interesting..long way to go but getting closer
  13. the Op GFS was cold 12z for xmas eve through the end of the run...also dry
  14. the op run modeled Torchmas seems to be cooling off...don't need snow but don't want 70 either...in case Santa is listening
  15. This is good stuff. Maybe Jan produces. But what’s in front of us now through the end of Dec is largely AN as it looks now. On the GEFS our entire region barely gets below freezing even at night for the next 2.5 weeks. We need to get through that then who knows. psu is right why beat ourselves up. We have no control.
  16. Isn’t that the Op GFS above? Doesn’t seem prudent to use that if it is
  17. WUSA in DC just put the kbosh on a white Xmas...they seem smart
  18. I knew this would be posted. Op runs are wrong this far out....unless of course
  19. That was an inspiring GEFS run. That -NAO doesn’t look transient to this untrained eye. It looks as stable and sprawling as my mother in law on the couch on Xmas
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