You are smarter than me but with a -PNA won’t we see lows cutting continuously regardless of the NAO. This may not matter for the NE…but the MA will be on the losing side more often than not. Seems like the -NAO is just keeping a full blown torch at bay.
havent really been tracking the coastal other than seeing it...if it gets too close its likely rain anyway. just be happy this weekend isnt Xmas or we would be in shorts
Saw that. sub 990 off ORF. Everything looks interesting next week but we are one adjustment north away from being in the warm sector on the GFS. So I won’t rest easy.
This is good stuff. Maybe Jan produces. But what’s in front of us now through the end of Dec is largely AN as it looks now. On the GEFS our entire region barely gets below freezing even at night for the next 2.5 weeks. We need to get through that then who knows. psu is right why beat ourselves up. We have no control.
That was an inspiring GEFS run. That -NAO doesn’t look transient to this untrained eye. It looks as stable and sprawling as my mother in law on the couch on Xmas