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BristowWx

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Everything posted by BristowWx

  1. You’d think 2m temps would at least be BN by 366…nope.
  2. You’d think the PV would just pop like a grape at this point.
  3. You can see the impressive -NAO flexing post 354 at least on this run
  4. it’s notably stable pattern on the GEFS…but through 324…it’s just stable above normal for us. Yet when compared to past 4 runs you can see lower heights in the east post Xmas. No idea but it’s something. It is what it is and who knows if that deep arctic air in w. Canada will move SE.
  5. It’s only about 6 weeks away…6 weeks after that it’s spring.
  6. First GEFS plot (12z) I have seen for Xmas that has BN 850 temps...just a data point. low heights in NE helping with that.
  7. This makes sense...post of the year goes to Yeoman. Hats off to you sir
  8. Things "kind of" go the way we think when we use the ensembles (GEPS,GEFS, EPS) and look at h5 especially looking at NA view....the op runs are often comedy and tragedy all rolled into one show past day 7
  9. No idea…to my eyes All it’s doing is keeping it less above normal really…keeping the ridge less amped in the SE…its hard to get too excited as we move toward the end of the month with no solid prospects for anything interesting…my 2 cents …
  10. If it’s not a torch on Xmas it’s a win. I want to roast chestnuts
  11. Very nice indeed. That should be rather chilly for us if it verifies. Things are looking positive so far to not have Torchmas
  12. Two GFS runs with ice. Data point. With follow up snow this time. GFS hitting the eggnog.
  13. If it wasn’t for the Atl I bet we’d have a pig SER. Small victories I guess
  14. Maybe it’s selective memory but the pac screws us quite often. Looks like last year except for the cold Canada.
  15. Copy. So what’s wrong with it? -EPO too far west driving the trough down the WC?
  16. One of the better GEFS runs at h5 up top near Xmas so far
  17. Can we score with pig -PNA? If everything else is solid. Overrunning or something
  18. That is vodka cold in Canada and entering the US late in the GFS run. The stuff dreams are made of
  19. I'd give it another run or two then start a thread. That timeframe is starting to look promising in Santa as the experts have noted so who knows.
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