BristowWx
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Everything posted by BristowWx
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Is that potential for pattern change to "colder and snowier in late Jan/Feb if things work out" because it can't get much worse than it is right now or something you are seeing that leads you to think that? I mean we could trade one bad pattern for another giving us a different way to the same result. There was a lot of speculation in early Dec that things would turn around in late Dec/early Jan and well we know that is not happening. Thanks in advance. very much enjoy reading your posts.
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now we are looking for any signs of life in the hinter lands of the ensembles. But at least we are nearly at the top of the despair index so can only improve from here.
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I noticed that but didn't want to mention. h5 didn't look as impressive as I thought it would but at first glance it looked like a closed upper low.
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well if it's stable and that time stamp is 14 Jan...that's half the month. still the optimistic side of me thinks it will turn around or we will see a totally different look come next week. hope is not a plan but despair is not either.
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Lets hope that trough in the west rolls east after that and we can reshuffle the deck. you never know.
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I think that might even be AN for Atlanta.
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Maybe it will set up gradient pattern. SE ridge is money IF you are on the right side. I assume this one is dog turds if Bob mentioned it.
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Many thank you's for taking the time to post that. At least we know what we are likely up against based on those analogs so I have a totally different mindset now about the winter and know what to look for. its tough pill to swallow for sure.
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I remember 2002 quite well as my son was born Jan 18th. It snowed that day and I thought is was divine intervention...it NEVER snowed again that winter that I recall (I was sleep deprived most of the time) outside of some flurries.
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Roger. And who knows what happens day 15 anyway. We can roll with this for now.
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Well that’s good news. See it’s gonna be fine. Until about 230 am when the EPS says pump your breaks there fellas
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Well maybe day 15 is just a flawed output. Let’s hope.
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yes that is chuckle worthy for sure. its nearly impossible to even get fantasy blue precip over the region. but not a bad look overall...for an op run of course. there is cold sloshing around up top so there is something
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combo of a 956 50/50 and what looks like a solid 1040 high in the PAC just squeezes opens the ice flow...fun to look at
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interesting look on GFS 234hr...kissing 1045 and 1050 highs in W. Conus and W. Canada sliding SE...been a wide selection of op run fantasy looks...add this to the pile I suppose.
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And despite its ridiculous look it still manages to miss us denying even a weenie dream.
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Yeah but at least it’s at the ready if mobilized. Of course it could stay put all season. If we are knocking on Feb door with no change and no measurable snow then it would be discouraging.
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Also loving that 462dM cold vortex Over East central Canada. That kind of deep cold is fascinating to me
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Not great so if anything this is good news as the opposite might occur. Something like that. Hohoho
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Yeah. Perhaps but if the GEFS is correct it will take Nearly the first half of Jan to get things looking favorable as Cape said above. It is what it is. Merry Christmas my friend!
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One thing the GFS deliver on the op run is cold late in the run. Check out these 850 departures. Nippy
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All I see is coal and fruitcake. What day are you keying on? Merry Christmas to you!
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I’m convinced nearly all of our snow is accidental. So this fits the MA winter
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Interesting. Some serious cold up north way out. Just need a vehicle to deliver it.
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Not seeing it. Maybe I am not looking hard enough.
