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bncho

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Everything posted by bncho

  1. Welcome to the uncancellation of the cancellation of the uncancellation of the cancellation of winter! We are so back.
  2. sleet. 32. you don’t understand how happy I am to say I measured a trace.
  3. looks like some sleet/snow showers working their way thru VA.
  4. nothing more like the Mid-Atlantic forum than arguing about the government and their shitty weather models in a boxing day ice to rain thread on christmas eve lol
  5. Jaws at the end of the 0z Euro. This doesn't tell me much other than the fact that January will be fun to track even in the first half, and BAM will likely be right about a major winter storm happening around their timeframe of Jan 4-8.
  6. That cold shot around New Year's Day has trended quite cold from the torch it was maybe four days ago. EPS averages 10-15F below average during this time frame for much of the East Coast.
  7. That cold shot around New Year's Day has trended quite cold from the torch it was maybe four days ago. EPS averages 10-15F below average during this time frame for much of the East Coast.
  8. I lost all my respect for the Euro every since last February.
  9. GFS is actually pretty cold at onset. Even in the metros it starts at 31, then drops to 29 before rising. Sleet should stick pretty well before the changeover verbatim.
  10. 18z GFS holds! Best news of the last 3 minutes.
  11. four threads in December? I’m pretty content with giving it at least a B.
  12. we can’t do snow or shut the blinds anymore so we turn into sleet/ice lol
  13. sleet nuke verbatim—if i had to measure an additional 2" of technically snow then i guess i would take this
  14. Eric Weeb is more volatile than the 384hr GFS lol
  15. The GFS has quite a climactic ending.
  16. It looks good for @mitchnickand points north, and has been like that for the past 3 model runs (not just the GFS) IMO.
  17. It's 100% a colder look. There's also more confluence. That 546 line shifting 50 miles south could be the difference between sleet/zr/rain and sleet/snow in DC.
  18. Looking thru a few of the maps and saw the 18z NAM. Obviously it's the 84hr NAM (lol), but what it shows is what we need to happen. That HP is stronger and more south than what other models have such that if it were to be extrapolated I would guess that at the very, very least DC and points north would stay frozen the whole event.
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