bncho
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Everything posted by bncho
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12z EPS and GEFS average around 2" for the first ten days of January, and we still await the even better pattern later in the month.
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we are so back
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surprised you pointed to the high without mentioning the fact that it's the middle of january as well lol
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12z Euro is kinda close but we deal with some mixing along I-95
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12z Euro has an 8-12+" snowstorm at the end of it's run. Panels loading so give it a sec.
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thermals okay at best
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p-type panels will come out in 4 business days lol
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https://arctic.som.ou.edu/tburg/models/?model=era5&base=ptype&background=plain&state=states_brown&country=countries_brown&proj=conus&archive=false&run=1996010100 ERA 5 reanalysis
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Which pattern would y'all rather chance? Jan 2025 or the advertised Jan 2026 and why?
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Even more than you did going into Jan 2025?
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NYC is so cooked they're talking about ocean effect snow
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0z GFS has the NYD clipper—dusting for most of the area. IMO this should trend south (and it has over the last few model runs), and it looks glaringly similar to the 12/14/25 system. It's only 120 hours out, needs to be watched.
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Philly doesn’t have the passion, half of the NYC forum is arguing, and neither have the knowledgeable posters. NE has them but if it isn’t snowing in Boston 90% don’t even bother, and the SE is just inactive. We have fostered a supportive community and we live and die together.
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Yeah. Ji most of the time is comedic gold. He’s much better than 70% of posters in that mess called the NYC forum.
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They are always fighting and bickering between one another. We just have to worry about Ji and we’re okay.
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it shreds out and its a nothing burger lol
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18z GFS shaping up for a nice small hit on the 4th
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Found @SnowenOutThere in the NYC forum. He's switched sides. Traitor!
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I don't know why but I like the way Jan 2026 looks more than I did Jan 2025. Maybe it's because I'm thinking we'll have more precipitation to work with.
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I would say that blocking will likely subside around Jan 10-15 before a bigger storm threat around Jan 18-23 with a -EPO/AO/NAO and +PNA
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Welcome to the uncancellation of the cancellation of the uncancellation of the cancellation of winter! We are so back.
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we get 3” while NYC gets 15” lol
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sleet. 32. you don’t understand how happy I am to say I measured a trace.
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looks like some sleet/snow showers working their way thru VA.
