I think we jinxed it lol.
The reason why we got the January cold was because we were so pessimistic about it. "February 2024 incoming" and all that but it turned out to be good. Now once we're optimistic about a short warmup then it all goes to shit and it looks bad.
In late-December we had thought this warm-up would be in early-mid January and last forever.
We pushed it back to the first week of February, and it's only going to last 5 days.
Is this the first time a can-kick worked in our favor?
I think that the best-case scenario for our end-of-month threat is a 4-8" I-95 and 8-12" NW, almost like a 20% reduction of Feb 11 2014. Once we get into mid-late Feb, we should see some more chances with the AO/NAO flip.
This winter is seeming like a slightly worse 2013-14. Hopefully we can get the snow in March like we did in March 2014.