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BarryStantonGBP

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Everything posted by BarryStantonGBP

  1. TO ALL BEARISH POSTERS AND WX METS: The MDR has been rapidly warming during the last two weeks! June 25: 26.76C (0.00C anomaly) July 10: 27.33C (0.38C anomaly) It's currently getting close to the +0.60C value we had in 2020 (YES, the spam year) at this time of the year. Give it another two weeks of similar warming, wed be around the same level as 2005 (one of my analogs along with 2005, 2017, 1996, 2021).
  2. Do I sound bearish or bullish

  3. Category5Kaiju has great points He should visit here
  4. The ocean doesn’t care about bearish feelings the atmosphere doesn’t care about bearish feelings clinatology doesn’t care about bearish feelings Fwiw EPS has it finally returning to a favorable phase the first half of August. I know in recent years we've mostly had to wait until the final two weeks of the month for activity, but I would assume this would open a potential window in the deep tropics around that timeframe. 1 likes
  5. Reminder: 20 KANSAS CITY, MO, UNITED STATES, September 4, 2024 /EINPresswire.com/ -- While the meteorological community braces for an inaccurate hurricane season prediction from most sources, Weather 20/20 stands apart, marking the third consecutive year of leading predictions in the meteorological community. Utilizing its innovative and patent pending Lezak Recurring Cycle (LRC) methodology, Weather 20/20 has consistently outperformed forecasts from universities, government agencies, and private meteorological firms. Dominating Seasonal Forecasting with Precision This year’s Atlantic hurricane season has left many experts puzzled, with major forecasters predicting a highly active season. The University of Pennsylvania forecasted 27-39 named storms, Weather Bell expected 25-30, and Colorado State University predicted 20-27, as shown on the Barcelona Supercomputing Center site, which tracks these seasonal predictions. In contrast, Weather 20/20’s forecast of 14-19 named storms has proven more aligned with the season’s slow first half. To date, there have been only five named storms, two below the average, yet still within the range predicted by Weather 20/20. In contrast, the forecasts of the 25 other organizations are resembling the efforts of a confused quarterback for a disorganized team—scrambling under pressure and nearing mathematical elimination for the 2024 season. God save our gracious King! Long live our noble King! God save the King! Send him victorious, Happy and glorious, Long to reign over us, God save the King! The Scientific Reasons for The Lower Number of Named Storms Gary Lezak, Founder & CEO of Weather 20/20 explains, “Our accurate predictions are not coincidental but are based on the solid foundations of the LRC, which observed early signs of a milder hurricane season as far back as November 2023. Moreover, while other forecasting models heavily relied on an expected shift from El Niño to La Niña – which did not materialize as anticipated – our forecasts were grounded in the consistent pattern of the LRC.” Endorsements from the Field Chris Huggins, Operation Manager for Operation BBQ Relief, attests to the precision of Weather 20/20’s forecasts: “We have relied on their incredibly accurate predictions for over five years, which have consistently allowed us ample time, weeks to prepare for disaster relief efforts.” Predicting Where & When Significant Weather Events Will Occur Weather 20/20’s expertise extends beyond seasonal forecasting to precise predictions of specific weather disasters. The accuracy was highlighted earlier this season with Hurricanes Debby, Beryl, and Ernesto, and historically with major hurricane disasters like Harvey and Ida. “Our forecasts provide up to 91% accuracy in predicting severe weather events, offering vital insights that significantly enhance preparedness and response strategies, and help businesses make profitable supply, demand, and staffing decisions,” states Lezak.
  6. “Bullish” = opinion of a younger person got it
  7. So you’re saying you’re ignoring them because they’re not a boomer Got it and “permabull” = nobody cares. They usually end up being right. Bearish posts = almost always ends up being wrong at some point and that’s why I will continue to predict a 2017 type season Bearish posts are always made by down casters who think emotionally and not realistically bearish posts always point out their povs by using broken models that usually turn out to be wrong anyway the bearish posts usually end up being from wishcasters who want a break from activity but let’s face it that ain’t happening anytime soon so let me get this straight if you’re not a boomer your take = permabull therefore = doesn’t count got it permabull = the guy who’s actually right meanwhile “bearish” posts always “models say”—then models flop every. single. time. it’s always the same bearish = just wishcasters who want to binge netflix and not hear about storms for 3 months never fails they get one “stable pattern” in may june July even early or mid august, think it’s a break year by August or september they’re radio silent when’s the last time a bearish preseason post aged well ian and Fiona are chomping on popcorn as I speak seriously and the whole “permabull” thing just means you’re under 50 and notice the basin hasn’t had a real bust in like 10 years but yeah, keep filtering out anyone who isn’t typing like a boomer newsflash: ocean doesn’t care about your feelings bearish = broken model hopium permabull = actually right
  8. can you access it or is access still rotted out for you
  9. now here's a storm2k post I actually agree with
  10. not a quark pal lezak beats out the bradford forecasting centre
  11. I will stay loyal to the church of saint Lezak and Fradella here's 2023 for example (was 20/7/3) crown: saint lezak: Keep writing essays bro!
  12. https://weather2020.substack.com/p/summer-lrc-produces-historic-flooding?r=183akg
  13. and yes I will keep posting sources from Zach fradella and gary lezak throughout the season
  14. lezak > mainstream forecasters keep that noise down or I'll get bradford city council on you
  15. tales and whines from bradford lezak > mainstream
  16. Fair enough but I’m mostly relying on Gary lezak
  17. Mainstream forecasters keep parroting the same tales from the sweatshop in Thailand aka busted forecasts I am mostly relying on forecasters like Zach Fradella and Gary Lezak
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