AccuChris

Latest IR shows deep convection really starting to encircle the eye wall again. Will be very curious to see how it responds to a more hostile environment but would no be surprised to see the eye re-appear in the next couple hours .

I imagine NHC will be doing a special advisory update increasing the winds and updating for the lower pressure in the near term .

Back to Cat 5 .

Latest recon just getting into the storm so we should get some up to the minute data on Milton over the next 15-30 mins .

Absolutely looking textbook again .

Latest recon in the past 30 mins found 925mb .

NHC latest 11AM advisory .

Absolutely incredible….almost 898mb first pass .

Recon is punching into the eye now .

Looks like they sped up the next recon mission as its already in the Gulf heading to Milton .

914mb on recon is just incredible that this has continued to tank so quickly hour-after-hour all day so far .

As expected .

12z GFS is about 55-60mb too weak right off the bat on this run…if the models cant initialize the intensity correct not sure how much we can trust its intensity forecasts in 48 hours either .

Bingo .

It will definitely be interesting to see what the 12z runs show later with this “new” info .

Latest recon pass found lowest pressure around 941mb .

New recon going through now just reported 975mb .

Latest recon 20 mins ago found 977mb .

Obscene amount of rainfall being shown by the 18z GFS for Florida .

I think he said they were losing the roof of the structure they were broadcasting from and then they cut to break .

New pass shows pressure down to 942mb just after 7PM .

943mb just recorded about 10 mins ago on recons last pass through the eye .

Pressure down but they lowered winds at 6PM update? Interesting 000 WTNT64 KNHC 262200 TCUAT4 Hurricane Helene Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092024 600 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024 ...HELENE CONTINUES HEADING FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SPREADING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA... A slightly elevated Weatherflow station at the Skyway Fishing Pier near the entrance to Tampa Bay recently measured a sustained wind of 50 mph (80 km/h) and a gust to 69 mph (111 km/h). SUMMARY OF 600 PM EDT...2200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.0N 84.5W ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM W OF TAMPA FLORIDA ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM SW OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.05 INCHES $$ Forecaster Bucci .

These zoomed in visible images are incredible to watch https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=mesoscale_01&x=685&y=1315&z=2&angle=0&im=60&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&maps%5Bborders%5D=white&maps%5Blat%5D=white&p%5B0%5D=band_02&opacity%5B0%5D=1&pause=20240925133125&slider=-1&hide_controls=1&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&draw_color=FFD700&draw_width=6 .

It looks like perhaps a warming eye may be starting right on the far eastern edge of the Yucatan .