AccuChris
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Everything posted by AccuChris
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Beautiful look on the 18z3km NAM
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12z Euro Kuchera looks the most robust for Saturday
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Zoomed in Kuchera map for 12z HRRR
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Dipped pretty chilly this morning in Lebanon
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Here is 18z Euro kuchera map
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Luckily for me the storm worked in easy numbers recorded by my Davis weather station. Recorded a total of 1.00” of LE. Of that, .40” was rain and .60” fell as snow. I measured 6” of snow so a perfect 10:1 ratio fell here. It also snowed for exactly 6 hours meaning it snowed a steady average if 1”/hr where I am located just west of Lebanon
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Snow is ending in Lebanon. Storm total is 6” and season total is now 17.5”
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I really like the CTP people and they do a bang up job but this storm was not their finest hour. Yesterday they had my area in 4-8” with WSW and then last night lowered it to 3-5” and still with a warning. Im at 5” now and still have an hour or so to go. Sometimes the NWS folks lean way too heavy on the National Blend Model solution but this storm was horribly predicted via the Canadian suite of products and only late yesterday did the Euro finally catch on
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Now at 4” in Lebanon and total paste job ongoing
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Saw Jim Thorpe in Carbon County reporting 10” so far
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Now 3” in Lebanon with heavy snow. Picked up an inch in the last hour
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2” in Lebanon so far and very heavy snow
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Temp has crashed down to almost 32 now and DP 31…rain changed to snow around 3AM….grassy surfaces covered now…Lebanon
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Starting to get a glimpse where the R/S line is..right along Route 80. As the low deepens and rates increase, line should get pulled down rather quickly. Follow the 925mb line
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I do believe we are seeing the tongue of where the precip is breaking out now hinting where the heavy QPF and banding will ultimately be…right around I-81/78/76 corridor
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Temp at 42° in Lebanon; its been a slow decline
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0z 3km NAM kuchera
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Latest 850 thermals
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Here is the 18z Euro kuchera
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For anyone tracking mesos, primary down to 998mb
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Latest HRRR…steady as a rock
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Until the HRRR starts to falter, I am all in on its consistent solution
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Oh im not busting your balls on it im busting his…saying the Euro solution is right and nothing has fallen from the sky yet lol
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The Euro may be correct on a more southern track but I wouldnt be crowning it victor as long as the HRRR keeps pushing heavy QPF up into our area. The Euro has basically half the QPF as the HRRR
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Another view of the 18z 12km NAM 10:1 and kuchera maps
