AccuChris
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Everything posted by AccuChris
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Long range HRRR snow. Note is still snowing for most at this point. In the LSV, if you are south of the turnpike its a battle most of the night. North and west of I-81 and north of Route 78 turn over to snow most quickly
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0z RGEM continues to say “what snow” in central PA. Thermals are just too warm for most. 925mb temps hover around 0-+1C and surface temps top 50° on Monday and only mid-30s during height of event. We will see
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0z NAM….overall looks similar
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21z SREF NMB coming in..the mean hasnt generated yet
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Hot off the press
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12z European was quite warm. Surface temps mid-30s and upper levels marginal south of I-80.
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0z GFS another big hit
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18z GFS kuchera
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12z Euro definitely an improvement from its prior runs
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Never got above 48° today in Lebanon. Most models busted here badly even on a 12 hour temp forecast
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Weirdest looking “Rex” block being portrayed on the 12z European. Needless to say, next week isnt a straight-forward warm zonal pattern
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Still sitting at 47° in Lebanon and socked in the low clouds. Window for mixing out and warming up like my southern and western neighbors may be short-lived
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12z NAM and RGEM products were not impressive but 12z GFS holds out hope
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0z NAM looks better
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I was with Kyle at MU around Thanksgiving time and he was very confident in a cold/snowy pattern for February. Im surprised he is “giving up” on that notion.
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I channeled my inner “snow joe” lol
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12z Euro EPS snowfall 10:1
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“Heck of a way to run a warm up”
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Rates have picked up again in Lebanon. Storm total sits at 3” now. 11.5” on the season to-date
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Sitting at 2.5” now in Lebanon…light snow continues
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Measured another inch in Lebanon over the last 2 hours so storm total so far is 2”
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Just measured 1” in Lebanon with steady snow
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I, too, am surprised how quickly the airmass has modified today under generally cloudy skies. Low in Lebanon overnight before the clouds dipped to 7° and all morning was in the teens but now at 32°.
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Another kuchera snow map from latest long range HRRR
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Up to 3.5” now in Lebanon with steady snow still falling
