Was wondering why GFS was showing LES next week with a frozen lake, not so frozen. Could be surprise event, depending on track of 2nd low. WSW winds off Erie and W/WNW off Ontario. (modeling takes into factor ice coverage)
I'm actually shocked at how little ice is on there. Must have been some upwelling or something last few days. Sometimes wind can do that, but I don't think its been that windy. I really don't know. The only locked ice is NW of Cleveland in the shallow waters there.
Live stream from Reed Timmer chasing. That guy has my dream life.
https://www.facebook.com/reedtimmer2.0/videos/938682490209316/?notif_id=1613275732467286¬if_t=live_video&ref=notif
Back to back storms. I thought the 2nd one was going to drop more QPF, but looking like first one might. Still a ways out.
https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html
There have been quite a few events with 12"+ totals with 80% ice coverage off Erie. There is far less ice than I thought was on the lake, taken today. That's like 50% covered, not 80% like the charts are showing.