BuffaloWeather

If I had to hand pick a pattern that benefits the entire forum it would be this upcoming week. Lets just hope the GFS hops on board the UK/Euro and we really do get back to back big time snowstorms. Going to be a fun week! Already got ski lift tickets for Weds!

Top analog for first storm

HPC QPF

HPC

Here we go!

WSW are in place for the first event ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations over 9 inches possible. The heaviest snow is expected Monday night and Tuesday morning. * WHERE...All of western and north central New York. * WHEN...From Monday morning through Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult at times with snow covered roads. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute on Monday and the morning commute on Tuesday. EURO total for both storms GFS V GFS GEM

Until the dreaded 150 mile NW bump in now casting time we've been seeing this year. I don't think that happens with that high though, different setup than earlier this year.

Should I create 1 thread for both storms or one for each?

Some nice lake enhancement showing up off Ontario.

You're the most pessimistic person I've ever seen. Show some positivity once in awhile.

@rochesterdave Dry slot into PA for first storm

NAM coming further NW with first storm. It also never stops the snow Monday-Tuesday

The entire country is in deep winter. Polar vortex visit in mid country spread out both directions

Euro pops another storm at end of its run, crazy active.

Total QPF. 1.4-1.8"

Going to be one of coldest snowstorms in awhile Monday Night Snow, mainly after 8pm. Low around 11. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Tuesday Snow. High near 17. Chance of precipitation is 100%.

Winds don't look too high for these 2 storms, highest is like 15 mph.

Kuch totals will be 20-30" for everyone once BGM posts them.

There is, but its too far east to matter unless we get that last minute NW trend that we've seen all season. The 2nd one definitely.

Dry slot will be the main issue in getting high totals from both storms.

I'll start a new storm thread for this week once watches are issued, definitely going to be worth. I don't think I remember a back to back event like we're seeing modeled in awhile.

The 2nd storm is going to go further NW then first, I think that's a lock. But I believe we see snow for both, GFS out to lunch. 2 feet for all of forum by next weekend.

Crazy differences between GFS and EURO for 2nd storm. I'd ride the Euro with that high.