Bob Chill

26 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Temp down near freezing. Can’t hurt. I feel weirdly zen about this storm, maybe I’m channeling @Bob Chillin my middle age. Let’s see what happens!

I hope the old school MoCo/HoCo band sets up and dumps white asteroids for hours hahaha.

Unfortunately I've had to root against this one down here and was never in the game anyway so it was easy. The 3 week glacier really set me back with property development work and I'm behind schedule. Picked up 2 nice excavator jobs for the second half of March so I'm seven days a week on our land until then.  

Had a real good winter down here this year. I gotta root for warm and dry from here on out so I'll only jump back into wx disco if I'm in legit crosshairs for a late season event. Always pulling for my northern friends. Enjoy the storm!

Low vis mod rain all morning. Just a wonderful cold rain piling up in ditches, potholes, and mud depressions. Y'all jelly don't lie now. 

Planning doing a jebdrive to knock off a few layers of dirt salt here shortly. I'll take pics

Mammatus cloud sunset. Rare but they happen in the dmv once in a while. Mammatus clouds behind a gnarly thunderstorm are wild but toss a sunset color pallet into it and it's other worldly.

Not my pic but what a show here...

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

Since when were you supposed to get snow for this threat? Taking our snow again

Idk. Been a snow magnet this year. Radar looks half decent for continued showers/squalls but highly doubt it will amount to much. 

Dumping down here. Legit mod+ snow lol. Roads caved!... or haven't been plowed in 2 weeks.... one or the other. 

On 1/31/2026 at 11:45 PM, Bob Chill said:

12/2: T .003" zr and 5-6 sleet pellets 

12/5: 3.0

12/8: 3.8

1/25: 4.3 (1.8 snow / 2.5 sleet)

1/31: 2.5

2/4: .5

Total: 14.1

Ended up with a clean half inch last night.

Official car topper now and temp down to 32. Might pull off something, measurable if another pulse comes through. 

Snowing lightly down here. Started around sunset with snow pellets. Slowly transitioning to dendrites. I'm at 33 degrees so it prob won't accumulate unless it picks up quite a bit. Euro says I get 1-2" lol but I think those odds are 1-2% lol

51 minutes ago, Ji said:

where is the post PD torch?

 

 

Ukie says don't even write off the pre-PD3 event lol

Models breaking persistence too quickly has been a thing for as long as I've played this game. In both directions many times. Since most of our winters kinda stink it feels like that only works against us but persistence is a real thing and toning down warmth in the LR has been happening since early fall lol. It doesn't surprise me at all that guidance has been easing off the warmth part of the pattern. Remember JFM 2014? Day 15 warmth was a staple in guidance. Remember how it went lol?

We need a pattern change or it will just keep being dry and cold. Looks pretty locked in that flow will be MUCH more active than its been for many weeks. Back off on the warmth and keep sending shortwaves our way every 3-4 days and we're bound to chaos/luck into something.  

2 hours ago, SnowenOutThere said:

What has impressed me about this recent cold/storm combination is how long one storm's snowfall has remained on the ground. Can't remember the last time one storm with no help lasted over a week. Even last year we had a couple events that built up the snow pack to last long. 

It's one for the books down here. I'm still at basically 100% coverage. Many side roads are still a packed glacier. Took my dog up smith mtn fire road yesterday and someone had a snowmobile up there within the last couple days lol.

100% coverage for 12 consecutive days has to be a record or close to a record in these parts. My climo kinda sucks (12"+/-) but I'm at 13"+ with 4 legitimate accum events. This winter gets a minimum grade of A- from me. If PD3 pans out or any other decent accum event it would be an A+ based on how I look at this stuff. 

As long as I get the most snow for PD3, I hope the dmv gets demolished 

...I'll show myself the door now....

45 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Mid Feb of 2015 comes to mind. That kicked off our actual winter, which was crap to that point, and epic for 3 weeks after.

Winter wasn't in the dumpster fire category up to that point but watching BOS get 100" of snow in 3 weeks while we missed....every.single.storm... was awful lol. Shortly after Jeb's epic "Scumstonian" rant our fortunes changed. The VD squall was wild. I got 2.6" in 30 minutes then the bottom fell out on temps. I was grilling in the single digits with howling winds after getting squalled. What a great day and beginning of an epic run. 

I pulled my Rockville yard totals for 14/15. Dec sucked but JFM more than made up for it. 

11/26 .8

01/06 3.8

01/21 2.0

01/26 2.3

02/14 2.6

02/16 3.2

02/18 .2

02/21 8.3

02/26 1.8

03/01 .3

03/05 6.8

03/20 1.5

Total: 33.6

10 minutes ago, clueless said:

I’ll always remember needabiggerboat.  Sucks. I‘m glad he is being mentioned. Raise a glass tonight. Winterwxlover posts occasionally.  Miss him very much.  

That guy was hilarious. It was a bit of a punch when he disclosed he was sick and shortly after the blizzard of 2016 he stopped posting. I know I'm not alone when I feel some pain thinking about that stuff. This subforum has been pretty legendary. I will always remember the OGs like Ian, Wes, Matt, etc during events. The clever humor was hilarious at times and the analysis was A+. It was much harder back then before we had 50 models running every 15 mins and model output really needed some skills to interpret.  I learned an encyclopedia of stuff basically just hanging out and having fun. 

I still think this place is incredible for both laughs and knowledge but it's different now. Like everything in life and online , it's always evolving and changing. The stretch from 2006-16 was a class of its own. Eastern was great too but chaotic af during events lol. 

For fun, the cmc is setting up for some kind of winter event in the east during the window... 

Not that I think the gfs is right during the 14-16 period but it's warm/rainy because the initial wave draws up warmth for the follow up. A more consolidated shortwave timed correctly could work out. Way too far away to worry about fine details in op runs but the window has some things going for it to produce. A warm front/waa snow could do something and a decent track after the cold front could be even better.

I'm probably too far south either way but there would be little surprise from me if it becomes a legitimate threat for the dmv. It's a typical luck/timing/chaos marginal setup. 

41 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Looks like a potential swfe overrunning event from midwest to NE, but could include us depending on how well we hang onto the cold. Usual disclaimer applies

My yard is walking the ptype line but your yard is gtg haha

1 hour ago, Ji said:

So in one day the entire month fell apart lol

It was a fun ride while if lasted. See ya in September when you cancel next winter. 

Just caught up with this thread. In a nutshell.... lol

12/2: T .003" zr and 5-6 sleet pellets 

12/5: 3.0

12/8: 3.8

1/25: 4.3 (1.8 snow / 2.5 sleet)

1/31: 2.5

Total: 13.6

20 minutes ago, Ephesians2 said:

reports of 6-12 inches just 50 miles to my south 

current total: 0.2"

oh well

I was so close

Models definitely got the crazy gradient idea right. I'm surprised you got less than an inch. I'm prob 30 miles south of you as a crow flies and I'm at 2.5".  Still snowing so I may be able to add to that but the end is near. I'm curious what Martinsburg and Chatham end up with. 

9 minutes ago, eyewall said:

I can't even explain how awful it feels.

It's an evil radar loop. I feel for ya. Been through some incredible busts and march 2013 still haunts me to this day.

Looks like the coastal bands are finally going to push into RDU. I hope a deform band sets up and parks over your yard. 

15 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Look at raleigh/durham though

That has to be one of the more evil dry slots. Upper level low and coastal have remained 2 separate and discrete events. RDU should get into the ULL action shortly but it's a shame things didn't merge and play nice today. 

10 minutes ago, Rhino16 said:

3k NAM seems too dry? It is snowing in spots north of the nc/va line but the model doesn’t depict that at all. It’s also missing stuff in NC as well. 

3k and hrrr have done terrible for my yard last 3 runs. I'm over 2" otg and it hasn't stopped snowing since I got up this AM. Had several hours of light/non accum snow between 11am-2pm but it's picked back up the past hour with vis under 1mi. 

Interesting event down here. Figured I was done for the day around 1pm when if looked like dry air was shutting down accum rates. Getting a nice burst of steady light snow and vis back under a mile. Not sure how long it will last but might be able to add to the 2".