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BaltimoreWxGuy

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Everything posted by BaltimoreWxGuy

  1. BaltimoreWxGuy
    A 992 tracking to our west. Definitely no Bueno
  2. BaltimoreWxGuy
    Eh. It looks like the euro is setting up for a Rainer to me
  3. BaltimoreWxGuy
    I’m good with it here in Dundalk...I’m in the 2-3” band
  4. BaltimoreWxGuy
  5. BaltimoreWxGuy
    2-3” on 10:1 map for most of us on euro
  6. BaltimoreWxGuy
    GFS looks ok for about 1” for a lot of us. Nothing really near PA line though
  7. BaltimoreWxGuy
    ICON favors DC for 1-3”. Not much for Baltimore-north
  8. BaltimoreWxGuy
    The positive snow depth map only showing 1” might be a red flag but hey if you had to make a forecast based off the NAMs you would certainly have to go 1-3” for most areas.
  9. BaltimoreWxGuy
    Yeah I guess I should have been more clear about that. Anyway, clearly the NAMs are nice little storms. Are they right? I guess we’ll see. I’m highly skeptical but hey, I guess it could happen
  10. BaltimoreWxGuy
    It wasn’t premature at all...what I said was 100% accurate. Just turns out it doesn’t matter as it’s still able to amplify enough to get us a good band of precip
  11. BaltimoreWxGuy
    Despite the differences early on, the 3K still looks good particularly DC-North
  12. BaltimoreWxGuy
    It wasn’t. Compare hr 36 on 3K and 12K...now clearly it’s developed a nice burst at 41 so far but it was not as expansive in the Ohio valley
  13. BaltimoreWxGuy
    It appears at least early on that the 3K isn’t as juicy or as far north with precip...isn’t the 3K considered superior to the 12k?
  14. BaltimoreWxGuy
    Yeah NAM isn’t backing down particularly for northern Md.
  15. BaltimoreWxGuy
    I’d use extreme caution on the FV3 depiction for Sunday/Monday...I almost guarantee that’s how it won’t go down...no spacing at all between storms and rain to snow? Frontal passage basically.
  16. BaltimoreWxGuy
    It’s crazy how the models have been keying on different waves all winter. Whether it’s the complex pattern or not, the models have been kind of awful this winter. Is what it is
  17. BaltimoreWxGuy
    Just not enough spacing between waves on gfs. Not looking great
  18. BaltimoreWxGuy
    One thing is for sure, whatever falls it’ll melt by noon lol
  19. BaltimoreWxGuy
    Gfs is a bit better particularly for dc but still nowhere near the NAM
  20. BaltimoreWxGuy
    Disagree...this is the type of system that the NAM over exaggerates on the northern extent of a jet streak when a low is way to the south. It’s out to lunch. I wouldn’t expect anyone to do better than a coating of snow with this.
  21. BaltimoreWxGuy
    Ouch. Rough hit. Not sure why anyone bought into the midweek farce. I could tell that looked sketchy. Gotta hedge our bets on Monday
  22. BaltimoreWxGuy
    Euro and GFS combo I usually find works well. They both agree on a relatively weak, sheared out system. Gotta go that route. Friday’s dead for now. Let’s pay attention to Monday
  23. BaltimoreWxGuy
    Snow dog Holmes is on the case according to DT
  24. BaltimoreWxGuy
    Why would we care about flood warnings in the south? We’re talking about the modeled QPF in this forum. Real QPF was less than modeled. That’s the only point. Let’s move on now
  25. BaltimoreWxGuy
    Lol it’s a baby threat. The best we can hope for is 1-2” with marginal temps. I mean sure that’s something but this isn’t really too much of an event
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