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Yardstickgozinya

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Everything posted by Yardstickgozinya

  1. Unfortunately making people think the next hecs is just right around the corner has become a profitable business for enough people and agency's now that the next hecs will always be 8-14 days out.
  2. I would be very wary of youtube weather forecasters . They need you to click and comeback and they know who to trigger that reaction in guys like us.
  3. Calling Dr. Kevorkian, Calling Dr. Kevorkian Euthanasia needed in room 2023
  4. Unless there's a retrograde,climb back up the Chesapeake, re tuck, and stall at 222 eh , Its just not good enough unless it dose le loop de loop eh.
  5. Day 4 30% severe weather probability already introduced . Not looking good unless you chase for a living. Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook Issued on Feb 27, 2023 Updated: Mon Feb 27 10:02:03 UTC 2023 D4-8 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8 Pop. Cities CWAs RFCs Interstates Counties ARTCC FEMA Tribal Day 4 Severe Weather Outlook. A depicted severe weather area indicates 15%, 30% or higher probability for severe thunderstorms within 25 miles of a point. Day 4 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area 30 % 127,091 6,597,282 Shreveport, LA...Jackson, MS...Tyler, TX...Tuscaloosa, AL...Longview, TX... 15 % 161,434 25,644,954 Houston, TX...Dallas, TX...Memphis, TN...Fort Worth, TX...New Orleans, LA... D4 Thu, Mar 02, 2023 - Fri, Mar 03, 2023 D7 Sun, Mar 05, 2023 - Mon, Mar 06, 2023 D5 Fri, Mar 03, 2023 - Sat, Mar 04, 2023 D8 Mon, Mar 06, 2023 - Tue, Mar 07, 2023 D6 Sat, Mar 04, 2023 - Sun, Mar 05, 2023 (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC the following day) Note: A severe weather area depicted in the Day 4-8 period indicates 15%, 30% or higher probability for severe thunderstorms within 25 miles of any point. PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be possible based on some model scenarios. However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt due to: 1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions, 2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or 3) minimal run-to-run continuity. POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of organized severe storms appears unlikely (i.e., less than 15%) for the forecast day. Forecast Discussion ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 270959 SPC AC 270959 Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0359 AM CST Mon Feb 27 2023 Valid 021200Z - 071200Z ...SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK POSSIBLE ON D4/THU... ...DISCUSSION... ...Thursday/Day 4... A regional outbreak of severe weather appears increasingly likely Thursday afternoon and Thursday night including the potential for large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes, some of which may be strong. Available guidance is in ample general agreement with the east/northeastward-ejection of an upper trough from the southern Rockies early Thursday to the Ozarks/ArkLaTex by late Thursday night. Owing to a stalling/decaying front early this week, respectable low-level moisture will exist across much of the Deep South in advance of this approaching upper-level system and its related intense deep-layer wind field. Current thinking is that this severe potential should steadily increase across central/eastern Texas and possibly southeast Oklahoma during the day. This risk should only increase/further organize into Thursday evening across the ArkLaTex/ArkLaMiss and Lower Mississippi Valley, and eventually the Tennessee Valley late Thursday night. ...Friday/Day 5... Severe-weather potential is expected to continue to Friday across the Southeast States including Georgia/north Florida and the Carolinas, and possibly as far north as parts of the Mid-Atlantic. This will be as the upper-level trough races northeastward from the Lower Mississippi Valley toward the Ohio Valley/Mid-Atlantic States. Very strong deep-layer winds will coincide with a modestly unstable warm sector ahead of a cold front and/or residual convection from Thursday night. Damaging winds and a few tornadoes could occur across the region.
  6. Mostly all snow here Atm for the first time tonight . Light coating of shit crap in grass and mulch
  7. I cant wait to make fun of the no snow Joe's when its snowing the next few weeks. I looked in my worm bins and it just so happened Pennsatucky Bill was 2 inches deep. That,s a whole 1 " deeper than I have ever been on a good day.
  8. Now that that I got my wake n bake in its 37°f, and Its a great day to be alive.
  9. Yep, I read front page in the paper the other day its been so bad all the main weather foresting agencies are now printing there long and medium range maps on toilet paper, so they can actually use there forecasts again. I here all the extra green on the maps this year is actually just too much free government grape juice.
  10. I apologize. I did mean to say could be under the gun for severe . No conducive parameters close to home as of yet. Didn't mean to give the impression I feel its immanent , although the slight risk for day 6 did expand north and west overnight but still has a way to go to affect cpa.
  11. ATP it looks like we will be under the gun for sever weather late 16th and early the 17th with a favorable kinematic environment foretasted to be not to far west of cpa. The most volatile thermodynamics stay way south of the high kinematic values without much interaction atp . I'm rooting for an overlap, and hell on earth in cpa. Its been way to boring for this weather hound the last few months . Maybe I can get some mood shingles flying around and accumulating in my backyard .
  12. 15% probability has already been issued for day 6 and 7 by the spc.
  13. Pootie Tang and winter 22-23, top two lamest things I have ever had to go through.
  14. Earwigs, worms, moths, slugs and many other insects have been out almost every night and day for the last 6 weeks. I have cole crops growing outside this winter and slugs have been a major problem the last few weeks.
  15. Why I oughta sock those MU wise guys right in their kissers if I ever had the chance.Yeah, Yeah see. Just wait until I show Muggsy and Boss this. Curtains I tell ya, curtains.Yeah see.
  16. What the hell has Rainbow Brite been feeding her fking pony.
  17. I had less then a trace of grauple here the other night and a few flakes where flaying again last night. Its been a real winter wonder land in cpa the few days. lol
  18. There is some big gust coming through my area again right now.
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