DarkSharkWX

2018-19 wasn't that bad, AN for IAD/DCA and near normal for BWI

if we do get a east based nino in the winter, it's not gonna be because its east-based now

we'd need a 26.2" average over the next 7 years to keep IAD at its average of 21", mean from 2000-2015 is 22.4"(median 14.4") compared to mean of 11.0"(median 11.9") from 2017-2023

nino 1+2 in strong nino territory

why are east-based ninos bad? like what exactly does it do

positive snow depth change

the time frame around march 18th looks to be SS

fwiw 18z hrrr looked nice for wave 1

march 1958 storm was crazy

Crushes NYC and SNE

1 minute ago, BristowWx said:

What are the 850/2m temps? 

i don't have them, weathermodels only has 18z member mslp and lows

17 minutes ago, DarkSharkWX said:

18z EPS for wave 2:

heres the full run of 18z EPS member lows out to h144:

12z EPS low members for same time period:

18z EPS for wave 2:

gefs looks better for 2nd wave

mean after wave 1:

mean after wave 2:

mean at end of the run/after potentially wave 3:

EPS mean at the end of the run is impressive considered the time of year

19 minutes ago, mappy said:

you need to manually delete some of your older attachments to make space

thank you

how do people upload multiple images off of WB/TT with a 19 KB file size limit?

wave 3 is around the 20th right

GFS looks better, pac ULL is more west which should allow more western ridging to build

18z eps looks more amped and it digs more

CMC big improvement with western ridging and primary digging more

Icon digs more

EPS still looks gold 18z

despite primary digging less GEFS had more coastals because the ULL was noticeably less amped