The Dude

On 7/20/2025 at 8:06 AM, dailylurker said:

Really? There's a shower about 70 miles to your NW. That might be what you see. The furthest storm I've seen is about 120 miles. OC to Frederick is far. 

From a 8th floor balcony in OC, I've seen anvil tops for a storm as far west as Frostburg.  I was pretty shocked how far away it was.

Happy B-day @MillvilleWx.  Thanks for all of your contributions to the forum.  I have learned a lot from reading your posts!

88/78 here.  

1.99" yesterday.  5.10" for the month so far

11 hours ago, 87storms said:

I get all that, but radar was a lot of nothing today.

What radar were you looking at?  There were a bunch of storms along and east of 95 in the 12-3 window.  I had one pop up overhead that dumped 1.15", with over an inch in less than 20 minutes.  Sure, it wasn't widespread as Saturday, but there were definitely storms around that were profilic rainmakers.  

Dew point got up to 80 after we had a little pop up drop a bit of rain.  Send help!

2 minutes ago, weatherCCB said:

Twinbrook. Just west of Aspen hill

That makes sense.  I'm about 2-3 miles south right by the Grosvenor Metro Station.  

1 minute ago, weatherCCB said:

Nice thunderstorm here

 vivid ctg lighting

sub severe here 35 - 40mph gusts

0.32” in about 10 min

Where are you in Rockville?  Your obs are almost always very similar to mine.

Radar indicated 60mph, but winds didn't effectively mix down to the surface here.  Gusts didn't look higher than 40s.  Still a fun storm

10 hours ago, 87storms said:

The 270 split precip magnet is at it again.

Ended up with a quick .59 here with that little line.

Got down to 44 here this morning.  Happy Summer!

36 minutes ago, andyhb said:

That cell might be rather photogenic if you can get a view of it.

I tried to get a good view of it from the backside after it passed over me.  Too many low level clouds obscuring the base.  Definitely saw some lowering between clouds, but couldn't see it well enough to see if it was rotating or not.

Edit:  It was really trying to get its act together when it went over me.  The updraft that formed the hook was directly overhead and I saw the associated rain shaft form directly overhead.  There was a ton of vorticity, but nothing organized until after it passed me.

We had some hail between pea size and dime size in N. Bethesda

2.43" so far here in N. Bethesda

Over 1.4" here so far.

2.49" here over the last 3 days.  Most of it last night.

2 hours ago, mappy said:

Yes! 

I was there with my son.  They're one of his favorite bands.  I wasn't sure what to expect without Chester, but Emily was pretty bad ass.  Hope you enjoyed it!

Back OT:  dark and damp here, but no new precip

.57 here today so far.  Nada yesterday.

14 hours ago, mappy said:

At a concert in downtown Balt City and missing all the storms   

Linkin Park?

4 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

I'm pretty close to calling you out as a meteorology AI robot. You always have superb explanations and insight. We're watching you though....robot.

He's better than an AI robot; he's always right!

5 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

My money is on Ji.

We can sacrifice him for 33 and rain...

4 minutes ago, Plow'n said:

Did I hurt your feelings? Why did you delete my posts? Wanna meet up in person sometime for a beer? Having a hard time understanding why you would delete a comment. Are you from the 51st state? Super confused. 1st ammendment pal!!

1st Amendment doesn't apply to a private forum, genius.

2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Something to consider. You are comparing a forecast to a model output. The NHC forecast you’re citing uses evidence and model output is one piece of that. But you’re comparing two very different things here aren’t you?  One is a tool to help us get a final product and the other is the final product. 

This exactly, and if you were comparing the same thing, you'd see that the NWS never forecast a 1+ foot snowfall.  Their forecasts and discussions have consistently mentioned the possibility of the storm missing our area to the south.  Wx53 is right that the models can be wrong.  That's why the forecasters don't simply forecast what the models show.  They digest them as one data point in their forecasting process.

23 minutes ago, Chris_B said:

Mike has been very good with this storm from the get go.  He was preaching caution when we saw the big runs, and focusing on the strength of the upper low.  

6 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Ok, I got two camps about the thread.  Do I open Ji's storm thread NOW or wait until 12z tomorrow?  Hit the "100" reaction for now and Trophy cup reaction for tomorrow and I'll move accordingly.   voting closes after the Euro runs.

Let PSU start a new thread for his storm.  Ji brings bad juju.

I ended up with 5.25" in N. Bethesda, bringing the yearly total up to 14.5".  Hoping to add to it next week.