RUNNAWAYICEBERG
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Everything posted by RUNNAWAYICEBERG
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Pretty funny you lack reading comprehension. Literally not one person bought 0z gfs and is selling the 6z. We know exactly your call that no one outside of the NNE mountains will snow so we’ll see how it plays out. Make sure you come back at verification. -
1. Not seeing that 2. How? More eps members than gefs and 18z eps came se from 12z and had a large spread. 3. why give more credit to older runs then more recent ones? 4. Agree. You can sell the flatter/colder look. I still do but it has support so I’m not completely tossing it.
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Ukie on pivotal looks gfs like fwiw. Solid hit for sne. At least h5 it’s not over Mt Snow.
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If anything 0z gefs has less phasing and more separated streams than 18z gefs.
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I still favor the interior but maybe there is a shot we don’t see all rain for a change.
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Who has the ukie dookie?
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18z did the same.
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Yea just saying it was close to something more special. Ccb juuust se.
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I feel more comfortable gfs being just offshore at d6.
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Typical gfs, slips east lol
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This could be good….
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Looks all SS again with the NS stronger with confluence and not phasing in.
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It would be nice to kick feet up, chew some gummies, and micro analyze if we get 6” or 16”…and not rain or mangled flakes at 34F.
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To extent though yea Steve…every event has a degree of needle threading but I think some more than others depending on airmass and other features.
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I don’t think so. Good locked in airmass equates to less threading, more wiggle room.
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Lol. Needle threader…
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Nice move back se but we’ll need it to keep coming. I’ve noticed the eps/euro likes to swing from nw to se and back nw with each cycle as it gradually swings between the goalposts. The direction of 0z will be helpful to determine if this has any legs for SoP.
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I think any global op that runs 4x per day acts like an ensemble member anyway so you’ll get wide variations at long lead times. Then, as we hone in those variations tighten up but that’s precisely the time we begin sweating the micro details..so any small deviation is magnified.
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What is interesting is that it’s all southern stream. The NS never phases in.
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Yup. Nice to look at but a precarious needle threader, such an outcome is a long shot. Euro/eps would have to fail miserably too.
