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RUNNAWAYICEBERG

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Everything posted by RUNNAWAYICEBERG

  1. You become numb to it after years of virtual abuse. We need gulf lows Miller A’s like 96 or 16. Once in a blue moon we’ll get the western edge of a Jan 11 or Feb 13 Miller B but those are the exception not the rule. God made the CT river for a reason ha.
  2. It is what it is. We live in the worst spot of the region for these systems.
  3. I’ve read alot of pessimistic posts, and rightfully so. If someone is spiking (DIT) that’s just him being him doing his thing.
  4. Yea, much better here then there but I consider this area right on the line. It’s remarkable how 84 west of the river is the gradient. Like you can get slop in Easton, 2” here, and 6” just 10 miles to my N. There are usually a couple systems per season where I can take a 15min drive to Washington and see accum snow while it rains here. Yes...I do that often.
  5. Yea. We’ll see flakes and prob some minor accums. Fade the early phase idea in progressive flows.
  6. Very funny but I have zero expectations for this event and not much for this winter as a whole. I finally know the limitations here in SWCT. This is a NW of 84 event while the ORH points NE jack/crush. A rogue nam run or two doesn’t change anything.
  7. Nice run from ORH points NE. That’s kinda how I see it playing out.
  8. You know it’s bad when I wish you’d post the previous frame.
  9. Looked like the best gfs run to me. Split the euro/gfs 70/30 or 60/40 whatever you fancy...and it could be decent for interior SNE.
  10. Pretty much. Sleep well. Check back in on Sunday, we’ll know then.
  11. Yup. Another season of big swings incoming...buckle up wieners.
  12. Yea. We’ve been stuck in fast flows for several winters now so the gfs has had the right idea more often than not, even if it’s particular solution isn’t spot on...but the euro idea of wrapping up cyclones off the coast of NJ as if the flow is slow and buckled is almost always overdone. Model bias at play unrecognizable of the fast-er wave movement.
  13. That’s S of Pike’s best chance for something siggy before Ray’s two week winter departs.
  14. It was amped last night less amped now...we know the bias. It will keep pushing this E/NE. Best bet for accum snows is ORH points NE and super marginal anywhere SW of there.
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