RUNNAWAYICEBERG
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Everything posted by RUNNAWAYICEBERG
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The euro sliding east yesterday up until 18z when it ticked nw was frustrating, shades of Jan15. But 0z and 6z euro went right back to east slides so it’s logical to think 0z uk and cmc are too west. We’ll need better s stream interaction to tug this nw today with less confluence above. We can’t afford a ‘this looks better but that doesn’t’ pbp. -
I’m thinking 4-8” out here and 8-12” ECT with room for more there as they are in an ideal spot for deform goodies.
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It was an overcorrection. Euro shifted back east already, expecting cmc and uk to sober up and tick east today as well.
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It’s a tick east of cmc and weaker than it too at 72hr.
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Heights lower overhead though negating better stream interaction.
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If it does then we’re back in business out here with potentially tickling the pivot point. Sometimes…you just have to let the frustrations propagate down to the finger tips, then step away for a bit. Come back recharged with a clear head.
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My Polish math still tells me 78 is not within the last 20yrs.
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Don’t let the accordion set that.
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It did, briefly. Let’s see if one set of cycle runs that came nw are real though. This could be an over correction.
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Yea. Looks feb13ish just a tick east.
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CMC looks identical to it’s 0z run from last night.
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And come here instead…he’ll get a much more accurate take
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I know we joke on this stuff but if we look at it in a vacuum (hide the names), why not give more weight to the model who’s been the most consistent, or at the very least…one of the most consistent.
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Rgem seems too progressive imwo. There will be a capture somewhere, most likely east of CC, but it neglects to close off.
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Doubt it but it’s possible. Seems like we are in an east then west seesaw of cycles. Net result won’t deviate much from an middle compromise.
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To be fair, I abandoned after 12z so I was the first to go and I’m proud of it.
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Gfs, gefs, cmc, 12z euro..all slid east, then 18z euro ticked w.
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A modeled KU could be the only KU we get…we may as well fancy it until reality sets in.
