RUNNAWAYICEBERG
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Everything posted by RUNNAWAYICEBERG
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It’s not the particular solution per say nor is it just one run. The trend has been nw for practically every model past several cycles. More corrections coming of course but don’t toss an inland runner idea at d5, that’s all. I’d probably toss bermuda lows though ha. -
At hr114 the op is way nw of the gefs mean and looks like an outlier, so there’s that. Whatever, another day of swings tomorrow. Peace.
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Maybe but it’s not on it’s own so it can’t be ignored. Anyway, worse case left goal post is probably some snow followed by big rains.
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Gotchya. There seemed to be too many huggers and inland runners that were muted by bermuda members so the true mean was probably closer to LI then over the BM imwo.
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And he gets 1-3” Friday.
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Too bad it can’t be 24hrs earlier for the pats/bills game at least.
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Nah. We just need to keep an eye out for steep ledges in Methuen.
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There is basically zero interaction from the trail sw so how it gets so far nw I don’t know either.
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Yikes. If euro keeps the west trend going, even at this lead time, we have to think about trashing ens means which are skewed by the east/ots and weigh the west members more heavily.
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My concern as well…
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Gfs keep slowing the initial sw.
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Agree. It’s a pretty sweet mid level track.
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I have no idea either and I corrected myself because the evolution is certainly doable. The clown map is misleading .
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Tossed. Actually, the evolution is plausible just not the clown map.
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Ah I was always in model animator, thanks.
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WM is frustrating on mobile. I can’t get to the 18z eps at all.
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Because he drunk.
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Yup. Rates and dynamics over duration for sure.
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What 1-3”?
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Makes sense why he thinks this is a slow mover then…Thur night thru Mon.
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It’s trucking along. Whenever it hits, rain or snow, it will be in and out. Unless the initial sw escapes east and the trailing vort tugs it back west and effectively slows it down some, we probably won’t see huge numbers outside of the resorts.
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Well it probably can’t get any further west given how positive the trough is as the vort digs into the southeast.
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Ha. A regionwide hit would be enjoyable but it shouldn’t break anyone if it doesn’t.
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What is funky is 18z gfs is not as phased as 12z, yet it tucked further west.
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The latest trends indicate I’ll need your best buddha impersonation sooner than later.
