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RUNNAWAYICEBERG

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Everything posted by RUNNAWAYICEBERG

  1. Reread. I said “hopefully” that track plays out to limit damage in Maine. Not forecasting it even though it’s within the range of outcomes. GL riding your pony.
  2. Hopefully 6z nam that made a big jump east plays out. That would limit the se fetch in the GOM.
  3. Shortwave over the GL blocks the west movement and eventually kicks it east as it gets into the GOM. 0z euro is about as far west as this can get imo.
  4. Don’t just look at the model output verbatim. Sure, the combo of the initial front moving out faster and a slower cyclone is giving this room to come west but there’s another shortwave over the GL that swings another trough through the OV and kicks it east.
  5. I told ya droughts are better. Of course norms are preferred but today’s climo leans to all or nothing.
  6. Crazy aftermath pics coming out of Libya https://x.com/reportwatchman/status/1701646665952698573?s=46&t=XiRWubWbpExod2fEMVycpA
  7. Lee and Nigel gone on gfs. The bright side is all the coc coming overnight wed so get out and enjoy it.
  8. So the worst performing hurricane models are the ones that support the euro? Lol
  9. Nice. Any damage? Hope you get more tomorrow and a cane to top it off.
  10. Smart folks yesterday told us to use the hurricane models and to toss the globals, so here we are...whiff.
  11. Crazy: https://x.com/peakaustria/status/1701342443147268121?s=46&t=XiRWubWbpExod2fEMVycpA
  12. https://x.com/ayoubrma14/status/1701394058881491289?s=46&t=XiRWubWbpExod2fEMVycpA
  13. I know there’s been several “entire months of rain fell in 4hrs” stories this warm season. Could be a function of being better connected by technology and in real time so we hear about local events more often and quickly, but that can’t be the main reason. It’s been really wet overall with a lot of slow moving non tropical cyclones mixed in. Need some data though to back up what my eyes have seen.
  14. That’s awful. There‘s been a lot of life altering flash floods in this region from slow moving storms this summer. IDK what the data says but it feels anomalous.
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