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magpiemaniac

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Everything posted by magpiemaniac

  1. Well, I'll be. So the board really only goes into Storm Mode when it's a DC/NYC storm.
  2. Sort of scares me that RAH's forecast for GSO says... Minimum of 0" Most likely amount of 8" Possibility of 12" This storm must have a huge bust potential. Their minimum graphic show highest amounts southeast, but their most likely and possibility graphics show the highest totals northwest. Seems disjointed.
  3. Complain to Mom first. Maybe she'll bake you cookies.
  4. I wonder sometimes what the guys at RAH are smoking. They have Greensboro under a Winter Storm Warming while calling for 2" to 4". Meanwhile, they have Goldsboro under a Winter Storm Watch while calling for 3" to 7". In what universe does that make sense?
  5. It's all fun and games until the next Euro run. I don't think I'm staying up for that.
  6. There will be fisticuffs in the main event thread soon.
  7. Obviously, the Southeast US is a whole lot of real estate. So after each model run, it's interesting to see which geographic constituency gets really quite and and which starts to perk up. Process repeats itself every few hours. One day, we'll learn that AmericanWX was just a huge psychological experiment.
  8. No worries. It'll change once again during this evening's run.
  9. I agree. It does give them a lot more needed wiggle room without becoming overly vague. Edit: I meant does instead of doesn't.
  10. Creators of call maps seem to get lazy when it comes go forecasting anything 100 miles beyond their hometown. Understandable and natural of course, but don't pretend you're making a regional forecast when you're only really focused on your own backyard.
  11. I don't envy the mets at the Peachtree City NWS office right now. They must be flustered.
  12. If I get the 12z GFS bufkit of 10.8" for GSO, I'm cashing out with a bang and will start celebrating our forthcoming spring. But I don't put much stock into bufkit estimates. I'll be shocked if I get half of that.
  13. It's like a funeral in the event thread. Start playing a funeral dirge.
  14. Everyone is speechless. Darn it. We need to make weather modeling great again. (Was it ever though?)
  15. There still seems to a lack of consensus. 12z Euro says, "No snow for you, Georgia." Several days ago, people cheering for one model will be now cheering for another and vice versa. What a strange storm.
  16. Man, whoever can perfectly balance temps/QPF/ratios on a razor's edge for this event should do really well. It's almost a zero sum game for this storm.
  17. Widre is AmericanWX's version of the chorus in a Greek tragedy. He tries to warn us about the potential potholes along the road to our blissful winter wonderland and is sometimes right. Those of us who are irrationally exuberant often don't like to hear it though.
  18. I'm liking the 18z GFS expanded precip field, but I'm not buying those higher snow totals. It'll take another run or two before I bite. And even then...
  19. I'm not expecting that to happen. I'm really okay with most any scenario benefit our neighbors to my south as long as I get 1"-2". Just please, Lord, don't turn this into a DC/Maryland winter wonderland.
  20. Can't wait for the forum reactions tomorrow when the models shift to a CLT-GSO-RIC special.
  21. The people in Boone have to drive to Elizabeth City for a good snow.
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