TimB

High of 78 ties with 2/20/2018 and 3/5/2004 for warmest high on or before 3/7, low of 60 is the 2nd warmest low on or before 3/7 behind 1/22/1906, daily mean of 69 is the warmest daily mean ever recorded at Pittsburgh on or before March 7th.

As of now, the high at PIT is either 78 or 79 depending on rounding. We have never reached 79 this early in the season.

If you throw out those two erroneous data points, the highest dewpoint ever observed at PIT prior to March 15th was 61 on 1/8/1998. We could be reaching levels of humidity on Saturday that are unprecedented so early in the season.

Awesome, I’m sure that translates to copious amounts of snow on the models and ensembles. Let me go check!

You sure you’re not thinking about 2022?

Wow highs in the upper 30s to low 40s and September equivalent sun angle. I’m pumped for winter’s last ride.

I’ll take #20 please.

PIT has also very likely clinched all 3 winter months of below normal temps, but above normal snowfall for Feb seems like a bridge too far.

Need 0.6” overnight to clinch that above normal snow season and get that out of the way before the March megatorch.

As of 4pm, PIT needed 1.3” additional snow to clinch an above normal snowfall season. That would seem to be pretty much a guarantee with whatever falls from this event from 4pm onward, the Tuesday night event, the Thursday event, and the early next week event.

Did they just ignore the entire 0z model suite?

Absolutely comical. Every single model except the euro had this storm in some form or another at 12z, and every single model that’s run so far at 0z has lost the storm. I wonder if that’s ever happened that quickly on 6 different models.

Next week is already trending away from the huge, extended torch, so maybe that’s a good sign that it’s not curtains for winter just yet.

I don’t know about you, but I thought this past November was a colossal failure. 0.5” against a normal of 2.4”. And October was even worse. We got exactly 0% of our monthly normal of 0.4”.

When 93 drops out of the normals (just five years away from that!), we’ll lose probably about a full inch out of that 7.6”.