bobbutts

Lazy pic from my webcam.  LED I put out there does cool strobe effects on each flake.

just measured 5.5" here, it's snowing hard at the moment

moved it to obs thread

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Sunday Night

Freezing drizzle and sleet, possibly mixed with snow. Low around 25. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Little or no ice accumulation expected. New snow and sleet accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I’m enjoying tracking this one. I feel like this system has some tricks up its sleeve...whether that results in something favorable or not for us.

Yup, these larger storms often have some kind of surprise.  My favorite is double the snow but the most common one is pingfest showing up early.

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

12z herpes through Monday morning.

Epic screw job for Maine.

nam out to lunch?

I just go in circles around the house inside to out with side discharge mower.  Leaves end up in the woods and no raking or bagging.

Decent clap of thunder just now.  Sounded like something frozen hitting the window for a minute there too but I don't know.. It's 45 out there.

Can watch the snow coming down the hill towards the camera location around 2200'

@ORH_wxman

First power flicker.

14 minutes ago, Vice-Regent said:

937mb is rivaling Sandy. I would take care around the property and make sure your trees are in order if you are a home owner.

Unintentional good advice

Laughing at a moron shouldn't be political.  The problem is that politics has neutered these people's ability to think.

28 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Mind if I use this with credit, great find, exact views too

No problem.

Ouch.  Those look like stick built homes.

Found the spot in Spring City.

3 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

That is gut wrenching. How the heck do you survive that? ughhh  

A shanty town is definitely a bad place to be for a storm like that.

I was able to figure out where the first 40 secs of the flight was from some landmarks and they show damage at "The Mudd"

Here's a pic of what I guess is are some typical homes in that area.  Not a big surprise they failed entirely.

The more modern looking buildings in the video looked very survivable for the most part.  Hopefully people were able to get out of the shanty town but I assume there were casualties there.

Just now, Bostonseminole said:

who is missing? it's like a 10 year reunion here.

About 20-30 red taggers.

2 minutes ago, the ghost of leroy said:

We used to call it “the hive”

not sure what the main clique is called now

Someone didn't like the post you quoted, barely lasted a minute.

I like Josh and he has no idea who I am and hope he's fine.  Seems like it would be pretty easy to just have a separate storm chaser discussion thread and put all the stuff there.  Obviously people are interested in it and it's off topic for the main thread.

28 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Videos from the well off people appear to be from Freeport area, where wind gusts likely 120-130 range, which would destroy a wooden house, but won’t do too much damage to a newly built concrete house. These people likely know their house can withstand cat 3 winds and stayed, probably to ward off looting. 

My fathers house near Naples was hit with 140 winds in Irma and sustained minor roof damage and lost his linai. He could have stayed and been fine, but no power or water for weeks... New construction is solid. 

Where did you come up with 140 mph?  Huge difference between 85-110 and 140.

140 mph is extremely destructive even for well constructed buildings.

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4 (major)

130-156 mph

Catastrophic damage will occur: Well-built framed homes can sustain severe damage with loss of most of the roof structure and/or some exterior walls. Most trees will be snapped or uprooted and power poles downed. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last weeks to possibly months. Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months.

Good chance for the birds traveling in the eye to rest and recuperate for a bit here tonight.

4 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

If that latest update verified, it would definitely be a nightmare - i.e., coastal southeast Florida appears to be in the relative center of the cone's extrapolated "central line". There are strips of barrier islands all up and down the coast and with it being low-lying and swampy anyway, any storm surge would probably travel quite a bit inland.  Just seeing the real-time storm surge video from Michael's landfall in the pan handle last year, was jaw-dropping.

Yeah, I have family and have been vacationing on that barrier island just South of Palm Beach for the better part of my life.  Some of my earliest memories there were my dad showing me the remnants of A1A that had been washed out by the 1947 Ft. Lauderdale hurricane.  I feel like a storm like this could move enough sand and destroy enough buildings to move it again.

The other thing besides susceptibility to surge is just how ridiculously expensive many of the properties are.  Driving up or down A1A is just an endless display of money.  Here's a sample stretch I picked out from Zillow.

Looks like that 1947 storm took a very similar track through the Bahamas with no last second turn to save the coast.  Of course it was much weaker than Dorian.