Chicago916

This reminds me of a setup a few years back (I think) where the downtown area eventually went under a Tornado warning for an isolated right mover. Never dropped one though. This one!

https://www.weather.gov/lot/2022jun13

Quite the Supercell in McHenry County IL. Wonder if we'll get some Lake Breeze shenanigans.

Possible tornados in WI not even under a 2% risk.

Tailend of that line near Rockford going to do funny business as it moves east?

1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said:

hrrr keeps shitting out a dry fropa here and i would prefer not

A lot more CAMs than HRRR doing that now. I feel like anecdotally that always happens and the squall will actually survive past the Lake.

Looks like another shot for more photos tonight with much clearer skies. Going to actually charge my camera this time lol

Possible low topped supers Tuesday could be fun. Knowing IL is the new tornado capital wouldn't be shocked to see a couple 

Tis the season of Spring where warm fronts seemingly get stuck pushing north of the south tip of Lake Michigan.

Peeps in Southern WI going to enjoy the last bout of snow for the season on Friday? Glad that it'll pass North of here at least...

Hints on some of the CAMS of the lake effect band shifting west for a little bit towards Cook.

Benefits of an Arctic air mass being it won't take much QPF to result in accumulating snows, and the lake will now be beneficial vs. detrimental to those lakeside.

32 minutes ago, Stebo said:

It's not alone either. Tomorrow night could be a surprise.

And now models trying to show lake effect action afterwards

Thursday and Friday look interesting for some snow? Lake enhancement/effect possible? Higher ratio snow without mixing issues.

Possible WAA snow set-up in the region Thursday? I feel like years ago we had a couple of those with big over performers in the local area?

Also only an in or so in Avondale. Not very accurate map. On second look this is showing accumulation and not current snow depth, so it might be correct given all the melting and compaction.

Notwithstanding needing the precipitation to switchover to snow in Chicago, the radar trends look pretty good despite the pessimism?

Might be grasping at straws, but some good trends for the eastern sub if this continues. Could also just end up as a nor'easter and stop trending west.

End of the 03z HRRR is wild. Transfer of energy from one sub-980 Low to another. Like a nor'easter in the Midwest. Secondary Low causes temperatures to crash.

If the NAM and long range HRRR and RAP are the only models not showing high totals then that's a good thing. Looks like globals and even HRDPS and FV3 really hammering most of NIL with heavy snow.

Screw the NAM when we have the FV3. This is more like it lol is it showing dynamic cooling as the low deepens or what?

Going to be a fun time for anyone commuting from the burbs back to the city for the evening rush. Glad I'm not one of them.

Just puking snow by me right now.

If anyone wants a laugh, check the early SREF spread in snow totals ... 1in to 20in and still snowing possibly.

0 snow here in Avondale and caught a maintenance guy at my place salting anyways

Anyone catch Tom Skilling mention this yet? One of my favorite memories was him discussing the GHD blizzard as soon as the EURO starting showing it a long ways out.