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Posts posted by PantherJustin
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8 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:
We are at 5 days and have ensemble support in addition to the op solutions for several model suites. This is officially a threat. Happy tracking this week!
The GFS/Canadian have it…. European/UKIE more than likely do not (Obviously haven’t seen 12Z euro) it’s one thing to have one set of Mods and a more favorable solution together, and the other less but one set to have a storm and two others just to not even have it imo is another …. Not trying to be that guy, but this one doesn’t have near the support last two have imo
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11 minutes ago, Beach Snow said:
Not much of a storm at all
Which means EURO more than likely will not have it. They’re normally hand in hand if I’m not mistaken
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1 hour ago, StantonParkHoya said:
You’ve gotta wonder, when this thing flips, are we looking at some major SER warmth/heat?
Yea, that’s worrying me tbh not so much for here but I go to Snowshoe in 2.5 weeks it would be my luck it would be like 40s up there
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11 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:
Just when I was at peace with giving up on this possibility…..
Exactly…. Ensembles look more encouraging this AM… that’s one thing the last two have had this one is struggling with imo, strong support from its members in the 60-80% range
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11 minutes ago, eyewall said:
The bad news is Kuchera is only at 27 inches for RDU or so. If you get warm nosed you get 15 inches of sleet. ;-)
Can we add like 3 inches of FRZN too and just end all of humanity ?
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Down to 20 here in Mooresville already …. COLD night ahead. I live in a very Rural area it never surprises me how quick it drops out here …. I mean I’m at 925 feet elevation maybe that does something idk
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2 minutes ago, msuwx said:
It is definitely a legitimate threat and this isn’t in fantasyland. These are real pieces of energy that should exist in reality.
We all just need to realize we are threading the phasing needle with this one. Timing is paramount, and you can undoubtedly expect some swings in the modeling. Later phase, earlier phase, no phase at all as the timing of the disturbances changes, etc.
I’ve wondered as a Met hypothetical here obviously….. should that still be showing Weds eve…. What would be max a producer would allow you to say on tv amount wise? Or is that not a thing like I think lol
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5 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said:
This is inside 7 days and the GFS has been very good the past couple of weeks picking up storms this far out. I really think it's a legit threat. Maybe not 3 feet, but a legit threat for a huge storm. We seem to be stuck in this pattern of having threats every 6 or 7 days. Remmeber how that happened in 2000, and then we got the big one with the third storm.
And coming to tail end of a pattern…. Historically would say signal is there for a “bigger” event
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While impossible amounts…. Still scary that GFs has had this end of world scenario consistently and now we are technically day 5.5-6 lol
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Ok well….no need to look at surface imo…. (Ik lame trying not to be excited until Monday) We have a STRONG signal as long as ENS support still Mon 12Z Runs I think it’s time to get serious it’s Definitely been honking this storm for days now
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13 minutes ago, msuwx said:
I missed this yesterday..... Yes! I think they will! haha
NP! I could see us getting 1-2” up here if we’re lucky we will see man!
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5 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:
GFS has been consistently showing a storm of some sort around this period. It definitely will need to be watched in the coming days... and I don't consider thus fantasy land. This is 6-7 days out...
The EURO is a joke…. Atleast around here it’s proved that the last two storms. But yes it’s still nice if all 3 Big Boys are showing it in that 4-6 day range regardless if One is useless lol
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1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said:
My goodness!! 12z GFS!!
Ohhhh yea it’s gorgeous
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At 6” for season total now in Mooresville …. 3 days in the teens (15 this AM) , 5 below 25 decent pattern so far …. I’d like to eclipse 12” for season total for first time since 2014 but we will see
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8 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said:
Let this be a lesson learned not to jump ship
Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk
Tried to tell everyone not only would it come back but be better than shown …. Now onto next week
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I’m watching “day after tomorrow”…. I think they used yesterdays GFS model in the making of that movie…. Better stock up now the end is near dear friends
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9 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:
Very surprised at the lack of any 6+ inch reports from Roxboro out to the coast. I figured there would be several this morning. How about our Norfolk peeps?
Me too…. How in the world did CLT Metro get 2-3” …. Ended up at 2” here at the house….. out of that band yet Raleigh had 6 extra hours and only got 4-5”?
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If we had 1.5-3” Reports here around CLT there’s no way someone around Raleigh doesn’t hit the 6” mark and someone my guess (Rocky Mount will hit 6-8”)
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some video I got while getting cookout on way home
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1 hour ago, 85snowline said:
Be safe!
I’m ok….. but everyone listen and go home…. I was in an accident shortly after tweeting Video , I was rear ended on my way home , the A**Hole took off and I didn’t get a plate number but somehow there was minimal damage so I chose to come home. But seriously it’s not worth it just go home and listen lol….. by the way 1-1.5” here in Mooresville lol
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Just now, WinstonSalemArlington said:
Charlotte to Greensboro to Raleigh road conditions are quickly deteriorating
Yea down to 25 here so I think if we can steal another 2hrs maybe we can squeak an Inch out here on 77 Corridor down to CLT
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3 minutes ago, 85snowline said:
Absolute whiteout here in Concord!! Loving that so many across the entire state of NC and SC are cashing in tonight!!
150 starting to be covered here in Mooresville ….. im Doing UBEREats bc I’m an idiot
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Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2022
in Southeastern States
Posted
I’d like to see that tick up like that all the way to 12Z Tomm then I’m in