winterwarlock
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Everything posted by winterwarlock
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Feb 1983 for me
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Because its more in line with majority of models not the 2-3 ft gfs and nam
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Definitely more realstic
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No
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8-16 still great call by Mt Holly
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Most normal people like warm weather
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Certainly nw nj is under tight gradient
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Its moving away from the insane nam amounts The calls of 8-16 with some 12-20 are pretty good calls
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Gfs has cut those amounts somewhst from previous runs
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This People need to acknowledge there are several models vs NAM/GFS where the 8-16 forecast makes good sense The higher amounts could verify..or not. There will still be time to bump them tomorrow if warranted
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8-14 inches on Reggie
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Shades of boxing Day
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Are models in agreement on start time? I thought the 0z nam was aggressive in getting snow going tomorrow morning. Have modeld backed off on that
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The Euro is why forecasters are hedging That a huge difference from gfs
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A few weeks ago 18-20
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areawide 2 feet
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biblical
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not sure anyone should be taking victory laps yet
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https://x.com/epawawx/status/2024948090050957774
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I think eary calls should be 3-6 nw nj going to 5-8 south of 78 most of cj and then 6-10 to coast and south jersey maybe 8-12 extreme coast lollipop..then move from up or down from there based on modelling tonight and tomorrow
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For alot of nj euro and canadian and ukie are 4-6
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Pretty big gradiant for western jersey on euro
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So possibilities...a case could be made for all 3 3-6 8-14 12-24
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Model noise
