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winterwarlock

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Everything posted by winterwarlock

  1. Mt holly is being absurd....going to hug the NBM right off the cliff and then when its 6-12 in central jersey and 10-16 to the north will act like they got it right all along most prudent would be to start out lower with what the actual models are putting out and then talk about the possibility of higher amounts
  2. exactly...6-12 covers alot of bases to the public without setting yourself up for failure with 12-18 initial maps which if fear Mt holly will do based on their discussions the past day and their insistence on using the faulty nbm of course stress the potential in the northern areas you could get those 15 inch plus amounts and toward the coast especially toward southern jersey you could get 3-4 inches before a changeover to ice and maybe plain rain
  3. its not the nam run , its the nam picking up on some of the same idea that other models are showing
  4. Dont understand why the nbm is used. Seems very out of wack 3-4 days in advance
  5. is anyone else not a fan of the using the NBM map for snowfall this far out. I know Mt Holly uses it to make their forecasts close in but 4 days out it would seem to be irrelevant as a map given the model spread currently and in most situations.
  6. On snowy Saturday mornings on a little kid in the late 70s early 80s i would either do an open face grilled cheese, Swanson chicken pot pie or Campbells Tomato soup with rice
  7. 1.5 inches from first batch and snow shut off about 90 minutes ago. We shall see what comes later..a bit skeptical
  8. Radar shows it snowing but just been flurries here and there 29 in Belle Mead
  9. I was banned from TriStateWeather and 33andRain
  10. Back of edge snow rapidly moving through Somerset County
  11. Heavier band here in Belle Mead so finally sticking to road. We shall see how long this lasts 32
  12. 31 and light snow in Belle Mead NJ. Dusting on colder surfaces but not sticking to parking lot and roads. No big deal will probably get an inch or less on grass and no impact on travel IMBY
  13. Well if the hrrr didnt get the initial batch right how can anyone trust it for the next several hours
  14. Its one of the biggest bust of the last 5 years...but people memoryhole rather than learn lessons so alas dont expect accountability
  15. Well its because they upped the amounts imby to 4-7 inches imby this afternoon
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