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winterwarlock

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Everything posted by winterwarlock

  1. Its still being pushed east southeast. Thats where it wants go Read the tealeaves
  2. Big flakes just melting into the abyss on contact
  3. Kuchera would be more accurate given its going to be less than 10-1
  4. Models are complete trash. All kinds of solutions and placements all different from one another 30 hours before start time. Throwing darts
  5. Wait til that sun angle gets crankin
  6. 2011 i think was my favorite March ever. Did we have 60s, 70s, and even some 80's for daaaayyyze
  7. Watching them turn bitter before the seasons change is a rite of passage
  8. I HAVE SEEN ENOUGH. I AM DECLARING THIS WINTER OVER mid 50s in my parts next week..brief cold spell last week in February and all systems go for a much needed and much deserved warm March LFG!
  9. Its more like being down 15-0 and having the ball at your own 20 at the 2 minute warning
  10. The NBM use in this situation is a joke. What is wrong with Mt Holly. Totally innaccurate because 2 or 3 ensembles warp the whole average
  11. Can someone tell me why Mt Holly has such a fascination with NBM and highlighting that there is a 40% chance of 6 inches by I95...this doesnt make sense
  12. absolutely the nam won here.....its clown map was off mainly because of ratio but for south of 78 it won..it was the first to show the warm nose and stuck with it while other models never had it at all and put out `12-16..the gfs which many weenies clung to was embarrassing
  13. sleet here in belle mead near the hillsborough border
  14. yeah it was too dry and the ratios overperformed can we trash the gfs and also i question the use of nbm until 24 hours before
  15. exactly...have to give the nam some props
  16. actually its run last night had me flipping at 1 pm and it did exactly...kuchera run gave me a bit over 6 and its more like 8 here so high ratios beat but it certainly didnt do horrible for those central jersey south given it was the first model to sniff the warm nose and introduce sleet all the way back to its 84 hour run a few days ago. The ratios were more of the difference here
  17. yeah the nam nailed the timing...the run from last night had 6 or so on Kuchera so the high ratios overperformed where we might have around 8 instead
  18. flipped to 90% sleet here just as the nam said it would at 1pm
  19. i must be on the northern side of you...just starting to ping
  20. pingers mixing in 1pm just like the nam said
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