Northof78

Not sure the surface will be a problem generally, but for city itself heat island always an issue unless really cold.

6z GFS ups the ante, more moisture and a more robust system seems to be the trend. 2-4" for much of the forum

Seperate thread on this storm potential...

Most models have a light overrunning signal for Tuesday December 23rd for N NJ/NYC/S NY State/CT. New GFS signals a chance for 1" - 3" for most of the subforum.

7.0" storm total, Millburn, NJ Essex County

What is your location?

Actually now that I looked at the PHL reporting observations as well, basically everyone in NJ will be in the 5" - 8" range north of AC to Highpoint.

7.0" of snow on the ground with light snow/flurries still falling and storm total in S/W Essex County, huge overperformer! Biggest storm since 2021 here and can't remember the last 2X outperformer. Beautiful outside, and love December snows pre-Christmas... Looks like Somerset, Hunterdon, N/W Middlesex, W Essex, W Union, Passaic, Warren, Morris, C/N Bergen, and Sussex will all end up with 5" - 8"...

6.3" in S/W Essex County with light/moderate snow continuing...2X overperformer...gorgeous outside

4.5” OTG and coming down nicely (moderate pace), looks like bonus area was N/W of originally thought. Look to end between 5” - 6”. Looks beautiful outside with everything pasted in deep white.

2"-4" from 287 E and Rt. 78 S.

We are currently in a very cold area of Earth History....Enjoy it, no matter what the Earth should mean revert to warmer temperatures after coming out of the ice age/abnormally cold period, but we are still well below long term averages.

We got to close this thread...all this for nothing, flurries, or a dusting...

GFS continues a stormy and cold pattern through the entire period.

As it should, historically (looking back over 100,000's of years) we are currently in roughly the 80th percentile of cold vs. warm (80% of the time the world was warmer than current). Over periods of time it should normally warm off these levels and the ice caps should melt, if the past repeats itself, does man have a meaningful impact to the natural course of the warming (if there is a statistically signifcant one), no way we can say with certainty.