Ephesians2

The Southeast forum has already started a thread. 

If you really squint, might be able to see a flake or two in Lynchburg. 20/7. 

Is Lynchburg technically under this forum or Southeast?

ICON depicts any precipitation falling with any layer of the atmosphere above freezing as rain, correct?

15 minutes ago, real said:

Where did the Low track in that storm in February 2007? DC got about 6 inches of snow, and then got pounded with insanely heavy sleet for hours. They were literally plowing the sleet off city streets... Didn't that storm come directly up the Bay?

I found these maps for that storm.

It's definitely slightly more NW at 114

Sleet in Fredericksburg. 

Light flurries in Fredericksburg. 

37/23. Looks like this will start as snow here, in contrast to some model projections. The sun and mid-40s temps really cut back on the snowpack, but still averaging about 6". 

Even an inch or so would look pretty and put me over Climo, so personally I don't care that much if North and West areas get most of this. 

Fredericksburg, VA:

01/03/2022 - 14.5"

Going to finish with ~14.5-15" in Fredericksburg,  over double what I expected.  Easily the second best storm since 2010, and might rival the ~18" of January 2016 due to the fact that it essentially all fell in one morning with ridiculous rates, and subjectively the circumstances surrounding this surprise storm. 

Also, can't find observations for EZF after 10:55, but they already had 2 hours of <0.25 mile visibility as of then and some of the lowest visibility of the storm here was the 11-12:30 timeframe, so they probably came very close to blizzard warning criteria. 

Just over 14" on the ground in Fredericksburg with continued moderate snow... winds picking up resulting in low visibility and blowing/drifting. Walking around it  just has the look of a "HECS." 

Moderate snow in Fredericksburg...  ~11 inches so far

Latest HRRR shows 3-6" remaining in the immediate DC/Baltimore metros, with more in southern Maryland

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=KEZF&num=72

EZF with two consecutive reports of <.25 mile visibility

HRRR rates are verifying here. Up to 7.5" in Fredericksburg, almost 3" in less than an hour. 

Borderline whiteout conditions in Fredericksburg

Steady moderate snow now. 4.75" in Fredericksburg

Fredericksburg a few minutes ago. Breeze picking up and reducing visibility

3.75" in Fredericksburg. Back to HEAVY snow

Fredericksburg a few minutes ago

Intensity is down somewhat in Fredericksburg. But that last band was crazy. Total 2.75" now, with over an inch in the past 15-20 minutes here. 

1.5" so far with HEAVY snow in Fredericksburg