Ephesians2

First 80 degree day of the year.  

B. Ended up with about average snowfall but more than any winter since 2018-2019.

Never got a direct hit from any storm - either slightly too far north (Jan 6, Feb 13, two warning level ice events) or too far south (Jan 11, Feb 19-20) but in return, there were 4 or 5 notable snow events and snow cover for most of January. 

A lot of Nino years in the analogs... interesting. 

https://x.com/MikeTFox5/status/1894541347563913353/photo/1

19:1 ratios

20 hours ago, Ephesians2 said:

2/19/2025 - 1.4"

Total: 10.4"

2/20/2025 - 1.0"

Total: 11.4"

Picked up an extra inch of so of high ratio powder this morning 

If we lived in a colder climate we'd just be complaining about April. 

On 2/12/2025 at 6:53 AM, Ephesians2 said:

2/11/2025 - 4.0 (3.25" snow + 0.75" sleet)

Total: 9.0"

2/19/2025 - 1.4"

Total: 10.4"

Light snow since around 7... total of 1.4" with the back edge approaching. 

Might be wishful thinking, but this was posted in the SE forum:

GFS out to 27... still early but looks like a SLIGHTLY healthier storm

Update: out to 39 - tiny tick north and looks a bit more consolidated, wetter, otherwise very similar to 06z

Still some to come at this point.

It's way out of range, but the HRRR seems dry and south. 

3k NAM is also very amped. 

NAM holding the line. 

14 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Didn't that torch in February, though?

Not really. 

The Canadian seems basically unchanged at 54

ICON is wetter and slightly north. Not a huge change, but it looks like the bleeding has hopefully stopped

**Storm isn't over at this point

Well... the ICON is definitely a tick north and a healthier precip field at 54

8 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

18z GEFS has a real warm pattern setting up at h384, early March.. early Spring-like if it holds with -PNA and +NAO

That pattern doesn't look that warm to me - could be wrong though. It looks like a neutral PNA and negative EPO. Also, the temp departures are near normal for early March on the GEFS. 

UKMET is a total miss... barely clips southern Hampton Roads... nothing anywhere else. 

It's early, and I am just cribbing from the main thread because they are getting it quicker than Pivotal, but it doesn't seem like the Euro will be fully caving to the other models for 00z.