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ineedsnow

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Everything posted by ineedsnow

  1. @Damage In Tolland is going to go into a summer hibernation for a bit Then true relief from the heat arrives Thursday through Sunday as weak surface boundary settles south of New Eng with easterly flow developing along with much cooler 925 mb temps. Temps will average below normal with highs mostly in the 70s but it is not out of the question a few days could be even cooler in some locations. There will be daily chances of showers through the period as deep moisture plume persists over the region with elevated PWATs 1.5 to 2 inches. There is minimal to no surface instability during this time so severe weather is not expected but can`t rule out a few t-storms given some elevated instability in place
  2. I'm guessing you haven't looked at any of the 12z stuff yet.. Euro is 58 at 2pm Saturday GFS 60 CMC 68 looks mostly average or slightly below after Wednesday for awhile..
  3. end of the week and next weekend look great!! Enjoy the crazy warmth while you got it
  4. when I was younger and lived in Agawam me and my friends would go on tubes and drift over to the island
  5. we Just bombed Irans nuclear sites maybe that's why?
  6. relaxing in the house thinking about how much I hate Summer with the a/c set at 62 .. but was out most of the day
  7. in your a/c probably we Derecho early morning?
  8. HRRR keeps looking better
  9. It's a few days and if you can read I said we would still get some hot days.. that 82 was a joke if you can understand that.. but yes I still think it's Midwest and west after this
  10. Models over the last few days have hinted at this for the past few days, although the track of this feature is still a bit uncertain. There is a pretty apparent split in outcomes between the global models and the convective-allowing models; the global models (GFS, ECMWF, NAM- 12) all take this feature across far northern New England or adjacent Quebec late tonight with little to no impact to SNE. On the other hand, the majority of the CAMs have trended further SW, essentially backbuilding the southern end of the MCS into the considerably more unstable air, with a potential MCS moving over parts of or all of SNE during the pre-dawn to early Sunday morning hours (approx 3 to 8 AM). Although surface based instability progs at that time of day are essentially nil, steepening lapse rates aloft support nearly 1500 J/kg of MUCAPE with increasing effective shear to around 40-45 kt, a shear/instability space which could support embedded elevated supercells above more stable sfc layer. There still is quite a bit of uncertainty regarding this feature`s track and how strong it may become, were it to affect our area. The outcomes here range from passing us by to the north, to an overnight to early-day MCS capable of hail, wind damage and torrential rain. I ended up following the trends in the CAMs, which increase PoPs into the 15-25% range for the southern coast, and increasing to around 30- 50% for northern MA. After coordinating with the neighboring WFOs, also included enhanced wording for gusty winds, hail and heavy downpours. While not set in stone, there has been an uptrend in at least some overnight/early-Sunday impact from this convective complex. Stay tuned on this situation.
  11. I looked on tropical tidbits and saw nothing.. and couldn't figure out what he was seeing
  12. It feels great out this morning.. nice cool breeze
  13. I was in Auburn earlier car temp was showing 93
  14. Naw temp drop during that storm
  15. Down to 70 here at home now
  16. Drove a couple miles to get to the center of it.. insanely heavy rain and maybe gust to 40 mph
  17. hit 88 just dropped to 83.. I lived in the CT river valley for most of my life I paid my dues
  18. Ya I don't get it at all.. Warning Warning Install Install
  19. im hoping it can make it the far east but its wait and see I guess
  20. when I left the house at 4:30 this morning we had a bit of light rain falling
  21. False black widow? Maybe @weatherwiz would know
  22. got down to 48 last night..
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