Spanks45

Not writting off yet. But the writing is on the wall for sure....hope we score a few tomorrow

AI was weaker vs 6z....not huge, maybe more noise than anything

Definitely looks like it is ticking east too at 12z, still spreads precip well west into western New york

The RGEM looked like it started shuffling east at 6z.....Not that I put too much into that model, but it was quite steady for a while until then.

The past 4 years has engraved that in my mind at this point, hard to shake that gut feeling that all snow will fail around here.....Drink half full thought is that maybe we score both and leads into a 2-3 week blitz. Jury is still out though

Quite surprised how that looked....it was west with Saturday too, but would sacrifice Saturday for the look Sunday. The timing is odd too, snowing here on Sunday, early morning

Yeah, one of these years we will make a run....I scored more 16"+ events living in Delaware for 7 years than I have being up here for 10 years...odd times

Uncle is a really clean whiff.....

look at the timing difference between the CMC and the GFS....it seems it is a totally different system with the CMC

check out the moisture profiles between the 2....hopefully the AI isn't missing something. I feel like it has had issues with drier sides of systems? Too expansive with precip fields? Maybe I am making that up....

This might be the best test so far, hopefully they are correct this time around....I have seen the regular GFS flop within 48 hrs, so who knows

Regular old GFS not so much....

yeah, I am lower elevation (160ish), so these borderline setups with weak rates never do well regardless of the time of year, unless it is during the evening or at night

Yesterday I was hoping to break 20 inches for the season by Monday, but that looks like a long shot at this point. Hopefully Saturday is more than just white rain.... Knock on wood, but I feel like WOR has been pretty lucky with these meager systems this year

Nice looking lows southwest of the center....been fooled by the GEFS recently, so will take it for now