WinterWxLuvr

What’s the story of the boy with his finger in the dam holding back the water? That’s what the gfs looks like wrt the cold air. It’s sitting there looking ominous all through that gfs run

The “tail” is actually the remnants of the sw piece that’s basically getting shredded. Let it get gobbled and watch what happens. The NAM came very close to that.

Imagine that happening if Nashville was the center.

You’ll be lucky if it doesn’t look like a run from July.

I think if we want the coastal, we need the ns to eat that southern feature like Pac-Man. Not grab it like a thread on a sweater and pull.

My thoughts are that originally the storm formed a long way out in the ocean and basically tracked almost north. This late formation was due to the trough taking forever to at least reach neutral. Now it seems to be evolving toward an earlier neutral and a quicker storm genesis. And I think we very much want that.

If that piece in the four corners comes out sooner and times up with the ns sooner, that will cause the heights in front to raise faster because it will cause the deepening to happen sooner. Still riding the alignment aspect of this. I know when I watch the 0z runs come in, I’ll only be looking at that piece and hoping it’s further east. If by some miracle we could get it directly under that ns piece, which I actually don’t think will happen, then we are talking about a completely different outcome IMO.

Been a fun 3 hours Now when do we get the 18z euro?

For the last time lol, there’s no GD Ohio valley low

Ok, there’s a group of you, you know who you are, that can suck it PSA — I’m only having fun with you

Something else to consider. It’s been mentioned that storm would need to pull northwest to really hit us. That isn’t true exactly. A storm that formed say near Myrtle beach would pass WEST of Winchester if it only came straight north. Northeast would work just fine if we could get the storm to form near there. Get that trough to go negative a bit earlier that storm would probably form earlier, and would probably, at least initially, travel more north northeast. Look at the height lines. They run probably more north northeast than they do northeast or east. And they go far to the north. I also think that once formed and moving, this storm is gonna fly.

I think CenterTim is either, in actuality, Ji or Chuck

Tag team

Seriously, the character of this storm seems to be shifting. Let the ns and sw energy line up completely and we won’t be looking at anything at all like we were looking at Sunday and Monday.

Ok … (rubs hands together) … let the nw trend commence.

Lol. Literally

This is so awesome on so many levels

This. It was worlds better at h5

Lining up better

Post I made yesterday morning. Still believe it. The closer we get those lines together, the better. We get them in line? Well, then it’s Again, just my opinion.

You must have different maps than I do lol.

Hell yes to this post. We almost got that perfect alignment that we’ve been talking about.

If you look at 54 you can plainly see it. The sw in Arizona is much further west and the ns is almost vertical. Much closer together and very close to a full phase. Im gonna dream for a few minutes and envision a full phase perfectly synced and where that would place this low.

You could tell early on the NAM. We almost had a clean phase. It has 0.3” precip here at 84. Lol. Who am I kidding. It’s the worst model in history

Damn, I’m tired. But I’ve almost got it onshore. Exhausting willing this thing in like that.