WinterWxLuvr
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Everything posted by WinterWxLuvr
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Yeah, that wouldn’t be a reason for me to not be ecstatic. It’s the same goddamn bullshit I’ve looked at all winter. But who’s keeping score I will promise you we will see many changes going forward.
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See, this isn’t just some MA weenieism. It matters.
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That’s what I’ve been saying. This is very delicate. It only takes small differences to make a big surface change.
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Fits right in with my hopes that nothing good shows until 48 hours.
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ICON looked better IMO. At least upstairs
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RGEM woulda ended mega amped. Way west
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It and the NAM together? What can go wrong?
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I’m not that person. I can interpret your posts as you intend. We truly look for different things and I understand that.
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We are agreeing while seeming to disagree. I consider a 3-4” snow to be a big deal. If the euro, for instance, moves from 0” to 3” for my yard, I consider that a big move. Its all about perspective.
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I’ll say this. I honestly think at this point I’m looking at a range of 0 snow to up to 6” of snow. I think that’s very much within the realm of possibilities. I think that leaves a lot of room for big changes. Now if you paint a swath 200 miles wide and say snow is possible here on Sunday, and call that locked in, then yeah we’re locked in. Youre never gonna see models go from a trace to 20”. That’s not what I’m talking about.
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@psuhoffman we were discussing whether the possibility exists for big model changes once we get within about 4 days. Was thinking about that and was thinking that if you’re talking temps I agree. It not gonna suddenly go from 40 and rain to 30 and snow. But when it’s delicate pieces that determine whether it’s dry or there’s 0.25-0.5 precip, then I think big changes can easily show up as you get close.
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You’ve been preaching this crap all winter. Where’s our massive -PNA? Sinners you are going to hell!!
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Allow me to translate. It might snow. It might not. We just can’t know.
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Lol I know. So reminiscent of what happens with the eastern crew 9 of 10 years.
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You poor souls
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You wanna guarantee you don’t miss anything? Just start a thread
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Just the part where “we” don’t get a foot of snow
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The Canadian has done a good job all winter. Consider what you thought when you read that. That should tell you how much stock you put into that solution.
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Of all the storms we’ve had this year, this is the one most likely to trend north/west. There’s nothing to the ne shunting out to sea, it’s later in the season where the cold ouch isn’t quite so forceful. I’ll bet the NE people are just sitting back smiling.
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Me either and I don’t think you can take surface maps literally at this range. See my post above .. this is close.
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We literally are about a 3 hour timing difference over the Miss valley from this being a major storm.
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Not for us. But I think that’s noise. That “pre” band was south of us this time. That’s not gonna be nailed down yet. It was better at h5 and that’s probably all that matters
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Tomorrow at 12z the ICON will be missing hours 72-96. Count on it
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ICON is definitely better, in almost all aspects. Yesterday I said to @psuhoffman that I thought the bar was 2-4” but I now think that was an error in judgement.
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ICON is better. Of course it’s missing frames as always. Hard to understand why that happens and it’s always the frames you’re most interested in seeing.
