WinterWxLuvr

And as a Vikings fan, I join you

Flakes in Winchester now NAM nailed this three days ago lol

Dude at this point I’ll take any type of heavy precip. Seriously.

Is that model programmed to try and determine the weather for each square foot?

We could just have the mind set that the NAM is gonna be right.

I’m with you. But I don’t think ens snow maps mean much quite frankly.

I would like to state this just to get it off my chest. When we get a couple of systems that put down rain, only rain, then I’ll climb on board the temp train. Right now it does not seem possible to get non cold front related precip here. The awesome storm track that we had all fall until about mid December vanished as soon as the holy grail blocking set up. We have had 0.3” of precip here since Jan 1. If this is what Atlantic blocking brings then I don’t ever want Atlantic blocking again. Im tired of hearing about patterns, blocking, good windows, storm signals. Until the weather proves that precipitation can occur here, then I’m not putting any faith into forecast. Ok I’m good now. Just had to get that out of my system. LOL. Good luck y’all. Think we may need it.

How have the last few signals worked out?

It’s that last map that makes little sense to me. Freezing rain typically becomes less the higher you go. If there’s cold deep enough to be freezing at around 4000 feet then it’s probably deep enough for sleet at lower elevations.

Actually it’s not your post that put me in this frame of mind LOL. If you read the last 4 days or so you’ll see what I’m talking about.

No. It’s inspired by about 4 days of the crap. You have a very touchy storm coming through where a degree or two could radically change the outcome but somehow people “know”

He’s the best ever. Obviously he’s past his prime. Dude can still hit a fly on a coke can at 30 yards.

Somebody once told me there was a 6z euro. Any truth to that?

Winchester

I just love it when people say they “know” what is going to happen. No you don’t. So stop saying it.

Bet on north most times

The Superstorm was a perfect setup. That’s why it was probably a one in 100-200 year storm. I would think that setup is easy for models. Just like the severe outbreak in 2011. An absolutely perfect setup. Made the forecasting of it easy.

Yes, the December storm. Can’t remember how far out it had that run where everything changed. It’s worth noting that this is a pretty big change too, in the upper levels.

I wanted to Weenie this post too so I’ll do it here I agree with you though

This is my favorite post of the day. And I’m just having fun with you. I’ve done it myself.

This euro love is misplaced. Not that I trust the gfs because I think that model is off its rocker.

I realize that but you can go 30 miles west of 95 and an ice storm can be a very big deal. I agree that they don’t happen often. I wish they never happened

DC isn’t the real world

I like the Canadian better because it doesn’t have all that ice. I’ll admit it, I’m afraid of ice. We got just a half inch in Winchester a few years ago and it caused a good bit of damage. An inch would be catastrophic.