WinterWxLuvr
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Everything posted by WinterWxLuvr
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My method for snowfall anticipation is to take the precip amount an multiply by 12. Works occasionally. The hell with models and their data and physics and stuff
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Certainly not now lol
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Then hell is real
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If you are traveling between DC and Richmond tomorrow, be sure to use 95. It’s faster in these situations
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Better counsel your buddy. Bad morning lol
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Compare it to the euro snow map
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He’s torn between beatdown, hammered, crushed and catastrophic ice storm.
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I’m not suggesting they improve either. Not at all. But I’m also not saying they can’t lol. I’m only saying I think they may very well change.
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Looks pretty consistent. Can’t help feeling we can still see changes. That ns piece that is so key is actually comprised of two pieces, or one influenced by another. The current positions of those pieces are the NW passage and about 1000 miles in the Pacific Ocean. Laugh if you want but this still seems a long way off to me.
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It gave you 3.9 to 5.9 on the prior run
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Model number 2 of the models we shouldn’t be looking at.
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ICON unchanged basically
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Sounding shows no issues until about hour 74 or so. Layer is around 800 and is shallow. Might mix for a couple of hours and then all sleet for a couple. Back to an all snow sounding at 81.
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Go ahead. Call me crazy. Call me a weenie. I have no faith in that NAM solution. Think of it this way. We are talking about the NAM. On Thursday. Regarding Sunday. Can it be said any more plainly?
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Sure is.
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At 72 the 850 line is almost to 66
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On a computer you could fit into a watch today
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You couldn’t have two model runs look more identical than the NAM does at 57. I’m looking at NCEP btw
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But what did it look like at 6hrs?
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It’s Thursday
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It’s first guess, not first call
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I’m guessing you’re a glass half empty kinda guy
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Everyone looks at this through their own lens, but I’d like to see this thing start slowing down Sunday afternoon. It’s zipping through now.
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That would be so sweet to get a wave riding an arctic boundary that gives us 3-6 before we go into a freezer.
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I have never had sleet here with 850’s ok. Unless the rates are light. Seems as soon as they are heavy we flip back.
