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WinterWxLuvr

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Everything posted by WinterWxLuvr

  1. WinterWxLuvr
    Wouldn’t take much
  2. WinterWxLuvr
    Not I
  3. WinterWxLuvr
    Much better. Deeper and slower. I was using the 549 height line for reference. At 0z Friday night (Sat) it was just north of Nashville on this run and in the prior run it was just south of Huntington. That’s a big difference.
  4. WinterWxLuvr
    Yeah those weren’t correct
  5. WinterWxLuvr
    I won $50
  6. WinterWxLuvr
    ICON is better for this
  7. WinterWxLuvr
    Yeah, ICON is too progressive
  8. WinterWxLuvr
    $50 says the ICON on TT freezes up and doesn’t show h5 at 54-78
  9. WinterWxLuvr
    This is an interesting post. I was looking at the North America h5 maps on the gfs earlier and something really stood out. At that range (view) when you toggled back 4,5,6 runs you couldn’t tell any real difference. Made me realize that it comes down to very small features when you’re looking at the practical weather at any specific time. So I can see a scenario where a model may score well on a large scale evaluation but poorly on the small scale that actually determines the real weather you get.
  10. WinterWxLuvr
    When are warnings coming out
  11. WinterWxLuvr
    There’s joy in Mudville again
  12. WinterWxLuvr
    We get that line to vertical .. maybe 6 hours earlier and 50-75 miles farther west … game on
  13. WinterWxLuvr
    Plain. All I did was connect valleys
  14. WinterWxLuvr
    The key time is from about 54-66 hours. That’s gonna be the make or break on this evolution
  15. WinterWxLuvr
    Huge jump. And the changes at h5 were fun to watch. Hold it back just a tad and sharpen it just a touch and you’ve got a big storm
  16. WinterWxLuvr
    That one was easy to see. Watch that h5 trough angle shift about 45 degrees counterclockwise
  17. WinterWxLuvr
    Well there’s your run of the mill 300 mile move
  18. WinterWxLuvr
    Yes. Big difference. Trough axis more vertical, much less progressive. Heights rising in front
  19. WinterWxLuvr
    It’s sharper and deeper, but probably not enough. It is hanging back a tad also
  20. WinterWxLuvr
    It is
  21. WinterWxLuvr
    Was reading somewhere that the column is cold. That the ground temps are the only issue. If true, that would probably mean a quick transition to snow.
  22. WinterWxLuvr
    It’s all gonna depend on that dry slot on the lee side of the mountains for us.
  23. WinterWxLuvr
    That’s your baby. Let’s ride it and see what happens.
  24. WinterWxLuvr
  25. WinterWxLuvr
    I think 36 might be a little early. I was doing all my “looking” at about the 12z Friday time frame
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