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WinterWxLuvr

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Everything posted by WinterWxLuvr

  1. WinterWxLuvr
    Haven’t looked at the surface yet but that map above looks warmer
  2. WinterWxLuvr
    At 120 noticeably deeper, maybe a shade west
  3. WinterWxLuvr
    At 105 h5 definitely better
  4. WinterWxLuvr
    Think it may end better. Timing/depth
  5. WinterWxLuvr
    Looks like it might have turned it around lol. Hour 78
  6. WinterWxLuvr
    All gonna come down to timing though and we aren’t that far out yet
  7. WinterWxLuvr
    I won’t predict but the change out west at 69 doesn’t make me feel good. Let’s see how it goes
  8. WinterWxLuvr
    Very interested to watch from 84 hours on
  9. WinterWxLuvr
    Much cleaner and well timed phase. Now if we can get this to happen 100-150 miles further west, and perhaps a bit deeper, game on.
  10. WinterWxLuvr
    Gaining on it
  11. WinterWxLuvr
    ICON has much better timing. Need better though.
  12. WinterWxLuvr
    So yeah, I agree. We either have to eject the sw piece sooner or slow down/move west the ns piece. I like the option of slowing that ns piece in hopes of a clean phase.However it happens I still maintain we need a neutral tilt at the least by the Mississippi River.
  13. WinterWxLuvr
    I actually think it’s the timing on the gfs that’s hurts. That ns piece drops in too soon and instead of a clean phase it just rips the guts out of the piece in the sw. The NAM timing looks like it would have been better.
  14. WinterWxLuvr
    Stupid analysis time, but the NAM at 66 would lead to a better outcome. Stronger energy diving down at west, better trajectory, and better flow in front. It’s the NAM and it’s 66 hours. So my post is a literary version of dumb and dumber.
  15. WinterWxLuvr
    I would think the stronger the low is, the sharper the cutoff will be.
  16. WinterWxLuvr
    I need some shoreline or on shore solutions
  17. WinterWxLuvr
    Thanks so much Yoda. Didn’t mean for my post to sound harsh. Sorry
  18. WinterWxLuvr
    Maps with no comparison aren’t all that useful.
  19. WinterWxLuvr
    Lol yeah I knew you weren’t directing that at me. I don’t trust an op solution at one day much less 6
  20. WinterWxLuvr
    This is the key. I think it’s import to get them closer longitudinally also. I had just taken @yoda post to illustrate that west is important for both pieces, not just the southern piece. Again, just my uninformed opinion. Top is the 6z
  21. WinterWxLuvr
    Yes
  22. WinterWxLuvr
    Forecast low here Wednesday night is -1.
  23. WinterWxLuvr
    Yeah we had a 2 hour period of light snow last night. Not sure how much but everything whitened up outside.
  24. WinterWxLuvr
    I’ll take this if I may
  25. WinterWxLuvr
    P10 looks good
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