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Everything posted by Brian D
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After Labor day, the holiday/observance list I use has nothing else really, so I have a forecast for the Fall equinox. Front moving through with a ridge following is what it looks like to me, so expect showers/storms affecting the region as we officially transition into Fall.
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When I was looking into the Labor Day forecast for the Holiday thread, I took a closer look at the patterns for the next couple months. What a see-saw I'm seeing for our region.
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Looks like I'm going to be off by a good half day or so here. Front starts moving through the day before (23rd) into Sunday (24th).
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Forecast for Labor Day weekend this year looks like a rather warm, and stormy scenario with Canadian high pressure starting to make a move into the region Sunday night into Monday. Here's the Labor Day map.
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89 with a dew of 75. Even with mid level stratus moving through, it pretty warm out today. Scattered storms coming later. Peaked at 90 with 77 dew not long ago.
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A little summer has arrived in town, again. Right now it's in the mid 80's with a 70 dew. Last nights rain that moved through helping that out.
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2.52" of rain so far this month. Doing OK on that front. Temps rather subdued tho. Been a mellow summer here as far as heat goes. Looks like a change to 80's coming for next week. 2022-06-01 0.02 65 40 2022-06-02 0.00 71 41 2022-06-03 0.00 73 43 2022-06-04 0.00 68 42 2022-06-05 0.00 79 37 2022-06-06 0.00 54 41 2022-06-07 0.00 62 41 2022-06-08 0.00 66 41 2022-06-09 0.00 79 44 2022-06-10 0.00 78 45 2022-06-11 0.08 78 45 2022-06-12 0.10 58 41 2022-06-13 0.01 60 44 2022-06-14 1.31 53 45 2022-06-15 0.00 58 43 2022-06-16 0.08 63 41 2022-06-17 0.00 76 52 2022-06-18 0.00 78 47 2022-06-19 0.00 56 42 2022-06-20 0.00 58 43 2022-06-21 0.80 83 46 2022-06-22 0.00 86 47 2022-06-23 0.00 71 50 2022-06-24 0.04 78 52 2022-06-25 0.48 71 46 2022-06-26 0.01 78 49 2022-06-27 0.00 69 46 2022-06-28 0.00 68 47 2022-06-29 0.00 73 44 2022-06-30 0.11 62 44 2022-07-01 0.00 87 50 2022-07-02 0.00 79 49 2022-07-03 0.00 69 45 2022-07-04 1.18 63 46 2022-07-05 0.46 54 44 2022-07-06 0.00 59 43 2022-07-07 0.00 60 44 2022-07-08 0.00 77 51 2022-07-09 0.00 66 46 2022-07-10 0.00 65 47 2022-07-11 0.14 76 48 2022-07-12 0.22 70 53 2022-07-13 0.52 80 46
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Prelim data in. Chalk up another warm June.
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Cool, wet Fourth. Been a while since we have had a July 4 so soggy and cool.
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Decent call for this holiday weekend. My map is probably a better depiction of Saturday into Sunday's set up.
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Cooler weather for the most part to start off the first part of the month up this way. Rains have not been an issue here, doing just fine.
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Mid 80's here today with low dews on a gusty W/SW wind. Feels real nice. But it looks like 70's after today for a few days. Even some upper 60's here in town with some of that lake wind forecast. Upper 70's is the norm max temp this time of year. June precip norm is 4.23", and we ended up at 3.02". For YTD the norm is 13.89", and we are at 15.57". So we are doing ok here. Temp average for the YTD is 34.5F, and we stand at 29.9F, which reflects how cold the start of the year was into the spring.
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Looks like the gov models are starting to lock in to something similar to what I forecast, but 1 week to go, so we shall see. Hope ev1 enjoys the weekend coming up with whatever plans you may have.
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After yesterday, today is beautiful. 70's with low dews. A little chilly in the morning, but this I like.
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Windy, cool day with highs in the mid 60's. Scattered showers moving through. Glad to see some of you down there finally got some precip.
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Another 1/2" of rain last night with a nice lightning show. 2.92" so far with 4.23" the norm for the month. More rain chances forecast for the rest of month, so might end near normal. Looks like a little needed rain in the southern sub today.
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Looks like 50-60 mph gusts, and up to 1.5" hail with these cells. Not moving to fast, either.
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Cells popped around here. Under Svr stm watch. Some warned cells. Pretty good hail sigs in there.
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My daughter asked me for a forecast for my grandson's B-day party, and in looking at that with my other Holiday casts, July doesn't look that hot on a consistent basis. But August may be the opposite. Has a hotter feel to it. I correctly forecast her wedding in May, and for the wet Memorial weekend, so she is really looking to me for this other stuff now. Hope I don't screw up too bad
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Yesterday at Duluth, smashed the daily record. 2022 94 1 1995 88 2 1988 87 3 1941 85 4 1933 84 5 Hibbing squeaked one out too. 2022 93 1 1995 92 2 1988 88 3 1989 87 4 1987 84 5 For the 19th, top 5 heat away from the lake. I-Falls had top 5 heat yesterday, as well.
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No A/C for me. Toughin it out when it gets hot. But the heat doesn't usually stay that long to really need one. But if a good stretch of heat does come, I'll pull out the old window A/C for that time. Fans do a good job, otherwise.
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Yeah, this time of year, near the big water is always refreshing when it gets hot. But come the dog days, even the lake loses it's cool by then. Time to jump in for relief. Now, tho, jumping in is still like a polar plunge LOL. Only made it to 83 at the co-op site yesterday. SW wind brought in a little lake air right where it's located. Another warm one today at 85, but a little less humid on a W wind. 70's tomorrow on a NW wind.
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High of 96 in town. But right along the shoreline its a little cooler. And looking at the Coop site record, I'd say it's quite variable. From none up to 6 is about what i'm seeing year over year. And June is 1 or 2 every........ last one recorded was 1992, and prior to that it was every few years. Station been in the same spot since the 60's. We shall see if it records a 90, since it's on the shore near Agate Bay, where the ore docks are located. Been looking at the PWS around here, and they are all pretty much the same. Update: There a PWS right on the shoreline up near Castle Danger reading 70. Much different than slightly inland. This morning, my son was delivering gravel near the shore. When he headed back to the pit, as he was going uphill, he hit the warm, humid air, and the windows fogged up immediately. Caught him by surprise. LOL
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90 in town right now. Summer has arrived. A bit later than the rest of you, but that's to be expected.
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Thank you, and yes, VERY!