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WhirlingWx

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Posts posted by WhirlingWx

  1. That's a very thoughtful discussion by FWD. I really am hoping we dodge a bullet with any significant severe storms, but again, it's conditional days like these that have produced our most noteworthy severe weather events for the past several years. 

    I have a ton of work to catch up on, but if I have time and the situation presents itself, there's a park within a couple miles of my house that gives me a slightly elevated perch to look off miles to the west that I could go to for a bit and see if I can view anything.

  2. These southeast US 5% risks keep producing tornadoes, which frankly doesn't impact our risk much but these systems sure seem to want to drop 'em.

    Shear is still pretty weak here though and I don't think that's expected to change much on a large scale (obviously this is more in reference to the tornado threat in particular).

    • Like 1
  3. 1 minute ago, Powerball said:

    Actually, all of the Collin County suburbs (Plano, Frisco, McKinney, Allen, etc.) are in the 10% hatched SigTor area. 

    You're right, now with the updated map on SPC I see that the 10% hatched is like maybe 10 miles north/northwest of me lol

  4. I think it's weakened and/or lifted. However, it cycled rapidly between the first unwarned couplet/cc drop and this, so any new cycles will still have it in place over a heavily populated area. I hope it's done; reflectivity is pretty messy around it now but inflow still seems to be feeding into it based on velocity.

  5. Truscott, TX tornado got rated EF3. Consider me surprised that OUN found damage indicators to rate it as such. Damage survey is linked below.

    National Weather Service Text Product Display

    I'm assuming that the rating was based on the bent steel utility poles?

    EDIT: Okay, my eyes totally glossed over this segment:

    As it approached County Road
    2610 and FM 1756 a semi truck was knocked over and a 4000 pound
    cattle feeder was blown about 850 feet to the north-northeast.
    • Thanks 1
  6. 3 minutes ago, cheese007 said:

    The couplet on that DFW storm is on a beeline to my house 

    The couplet would pass south of me at its current pace (but hail might still be an issue for me), and might take a similar path to the 10/20/19 storm. It doesn't appear to me that the circulation has gotten any tighter, and hopefully it stays that way.

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