Jump to content

WhirlingWx

Members
  • Posts

    404
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by WhirlingWx

  1. 12 minutes ago, vwgrrc said:

    Regardless, there's pretty much a consensus across the models that Collin County will get a tons ice unfortunately. That's really concerning given how populated Allen/McKinney/Frisco area is. Most of our friends are in these 3 cities and got hit hard in last year's poweroutage.

    I got lucky last year to not lose power (I still don't know how exactly the grids work - I know I'm near a fire station but some people I know in a similar situation still lost power). I've been following this thread and consider me quite worried as well.

  2. 7 hours ago, Powerball said:

    Much of the region is currently under severe to extreme drought conditions, with no relief in sight:

     

    Strangely enough, almost unwittingly drove past a small grass fire this afternoon (east Plano). First time I've seen one personally. The grass was definitely very dry, but no clue how it started- the median in the middle of the road was just covered in flames. Definitely hadn't been going on for long, but it looked like it was fixing to jump across the road, but again I have no real experience with fires (this road was between a church and a high school right as students were leaving, so it was busy). As soon as I grabbed my phone to dial 911, a firetruck rounded the bend into my FOV and took care of it.

    I guess that's just a little experience I wanted to share to which the severe drought here is relevant.

  3. Pretty much all other CAMs show convective initiation though... We've seen multiple times where the HRRR backs off on initiating during the late morning on the day of only to just be wrong and in disagreement with the other models. Of course, storms aren't guaranteed either, but I'm just saying that this kind of situation is not too unusual for the HRRR.

    • Like 1
  4. 54 minutes ago, Powerball said:

    Oh my...

    
    Tornado Warning
    TXC113-161945-
    /O.NEW.KFWD.TO.W.0019.210516T1908Z-210516T1945Z/
    
    BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
    Tornado Warning
    National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
    208 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021
    
    The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a
    
    * Tornado Warning for...
      North central Dallas County in north central Texas...

    I went out to take a look, everything was rain-wrapped obviously and couldn't see anything lol, but was worth a shot

    Not sure if we ever had a touchdown, but the path of the rotation would have taken it right over my old neighborhood (which also got on 10/20/19)

  5. MD 625 graphic

    Mesoscale Discussion 0625
       NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
       0617 PM CDT Sat May 15 2021
    
       Areas affected...southeast Colorado through southwest Kansas
    
       Concerning...Tornado Watch 175...
    
       Valid 152317Z - 160015Z
    
       The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 175 continues.
    
       SUMMARY...A relatively small window will exist through mid evening
       for brief isolated tornadoes from a portion of southeast Colorado
       through southwest Kansas.
    
       DISCUSSION...Early this evening a stationary boundary extends
       through southwest Kansas into southeast Colorado. Dewpoints are
       generally in the upper 50s to around 60 F in vicinity of this
       boundary contributing to somewhat lower LCLs and up to 2000 J/kg
       MLCAPE. Storms will continue spreading eastward off the higher
       terrain, and other storms may initiate on the boundary. Effective
       bulk shear around 35 kt will promote both multicell and marginal
       supercell structures, and some increase in 0-2 km hodograph size
       will occur as the low-level jet strengthens this evening. The
       primary threat for a few brief tornadoes is expected to occur as
       storms develop along or move east and interact with the boundary
       where low-level vorticity will be maximized.
    
       ..Dial.. 05/15/2021
×
×
  • Create New...