Leesville Wx Hawk

Good to see you on here ILM!  If Brick shows up, it will definitely be on.

I’ll take some smaller events and be okay.  I’m not counting on the 16th but we can still get something before the pattern relaxes for a bit.

We may even get a +PNA for a change in time.

I saw about 4-5 members looking interesting but it’s a long shot to pan for most of us.   You never know.

Nobody excited about clipper at hour 300? RDU with a surprise 1-2” lol!  I’ve seen it happen before with a low develop however and make it white.

Fat lady hasn’t started singing yet.  18z may give us hope.  Ensembles still agree on cold press and that is key for us. 

GEFS 12z looks good so far.  Operational not so much as it hangs cold out west too long.

I was referring to the upcoming pattern not now so I definitely agree. A single event will work given that RDU has gone about 700 days now without accumulating snow.


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We have a real window of opportunity coming so I hope that we cash in before the pattern relaxes.  GFS operational has been showing some long range digital winter weather.

Happy New Year to all on this forum! If you are on here, you are a trooper for sure LOL! May the GEFS lose the SER at 300 plus hours for a change!  

Happy New Year!  There will be chances later in the month as we get much colder presses down this far.

Perhaps for Greensboro, Roxboro and southern Va people on this forum.

Lock it in Josh!

Man watching the HP move in on the GFS for the fantasy storm is a thing of CAD beauty. 1030 just perfectly placed and timed correctly. I’m positive it happens exactly as depicted in reality!

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=seus&pkg=asnow

Merry Christmas! Of course we can just lock in hour 360.


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Yep, not quite cold enough.


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Perfect, even has a middle finger thru Charlotte...

GFS consistently giving RDU rain to accumulating snow next Thursday. It won’t be pure but anything would be exciting. We have basically been shut out.


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It is cool to at least get digital snow here just north of RDU but I really don’t have much faith that it will materialize.

At least we got a little flizzard on Saturday morning for those up to see it.


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My sons went sledding on the street 2x last year but I’m about 4 miles north of RDU as the crow flies.


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Good points GaWx! Hope it works out for many of us!!


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We all saw the writing on the wall but there will be other chances. Perhaps some post frontal flurries Friday will brighten spirits.

The biggest takeaway is that if Brick didn’t show up, don’t get too excited RDU folks.


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Coming down good there?  I only had flurries about 4 miles NE of RDU.

Awesome, thank you!

Can someone post a surface reflection or snow map of European operational?  The 500 mb looks a little better.

Sure does look similar.  Positive tilt not quite digging west enough yet.  There is time and a chance of course.  This has been the pattern lately.