Dabuckeyes

Starts at 12z on Sunday and is still snowing at 12z on Tuesday.  I'd love to see that even if it's not ripping the entire time

If the thermals were in line with other guidance, this would have been a huge run.  Like someone from PSU said yesterday...trend

If you look at the trend over the past 4 or 5 runs, GFS is slowing down the progression of the primary.  It's still in Indiana at 72 hours vs closer to Ohio in past runs.  Small differences

5 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said:

Yeah pretty much every model forms a coastal but there is obviously still a big question mark as to where it delivers the biggest impacts.  If I was a forecaster I'd be focused on telling the public that some accumulating snow is likely Sunday and Sunday night and the impacts of the coastal on Monday are yet to be determined.

I agree.  Just give folks a generalization right now and work on the details as we get even closer.  Bernie has been burned a couple times already this year, so that may also play into his current forecast. 

Decent snow at 96

I think the transferred occurred quicker for the 6z run

At 114 the low is still trying to organize off the NC coast.  Previous runs already made the transfer

Looking at those 500mb vort charts, the NAM at 84 looks like its a blend between the GFS and EURO.  Would probably lead to a more southern look than GFS if I want to extrapolate out way to far.

Watching students take a virtual exam so need something to do until they finish 

GFS was trying to figure out where the transfer off the coast. Looked 300 miles off shore then pulled a Lee Corso and said “Not so fast my friend”

Just now, Ji said:

man the para is a disaster again. What is going on here?

Your kind of disaster or 3-6" disaster?

Definitely a step in the right direction

3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

What a weenie run....get it? Cause it looks like....I'll see myself out

NE MD Not Really Pummeled!  

I do think if the Euro was true, the northern areas would have higher ratios with temps nearing the teens.  Glad to have something to track as virtual teaching continues on...

1 minute ago, yoda said:

120 -- 1037mb HP in Quebec with 1003mb SLP near St. Louis, MO (just south of there)

I know I can look at the models myself, but it's more fun waiting for the Pbp.  Bring it on home Yoda

UKIE is a solid hit.  4-8 inches region wide and it appears to still be snowing at 144

At 156 it almost looks like CMC is trying to develop a low off of NC

ETA:  No dice

What's fascinating is how the ICON and Euro have the redevelopment with the stall.  Incredible both models show the same progression at 5 days

21 minutes ago, Scraff said:

I have a good feeling about the 12z suite...

That's just the IPA you're working on 

Most models showed some redevelopment around midnight

Flurries have commenced in Lutherville Timonium 

2 minutes ago, Cobalt said:

Can someone explain what in the world the RMP model is?? Lovechild of RAP and Deep Thunder?? 

Its the best model ever!  Kidding...it's their in house short range computer model.  I don't know how accurate it is but I do notice a lot of times it is fairly conservative.

I agree with the sentiment.  One solid hit without precip issues would be nice.  Not going to be picky.  Lets bring home the "Losetoa Storm" 

1 minute ago, SnowGolfBro said:

At this point i would take snow TV from 8pm to midnight and call it a win.  

Acceptance: Stage 5 of the grieving process

Most snow I've ever seen the ICON give our area.  I must be really bored

If you really stare, the ICON at hr 27 even has the lightest hue of blue possible

It appears the UKIE does not get any precip into MD.